Will Obama regain his lead among women?
A look at the final stretch of 2012 race
- Duration 5:46
- Date Oct 28, 2012
A look at the final stretch of 2012 race
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All right we're in the final stretch with the election a week from Tuesday and it is a dead heat.
And the polls have been trending toward Mitt Romney.
And the lead the president's once had with women well it's gone so what can happen in the next few days that would change things and give either candidate an advantage.
Joining me now is former advisor to President Bill Clinton and Fox News contributor Doug -- And president of the polling company Kellyanne Conway -- to have both of you here thank you governor out.
Kellyanne let me start with you yes.
These states which are now in a dead heat if Ohio breaks for Obama.
What happens it's too given Romney a chance to win.
Romney I think is way ahead in the popular vote and that's got to be worth something even in Electoral College situation.
It means that in this battle of early voting -- late momentum.
I'd rather be the guy -- -- -- momentum which is Mitt Romney because it gives him a real shot at states that Obama carried handily.
Governor lake Wisconsin Iowa.
No New Hampshire and maybe even Nevada.
Can speak Jack in there because the Republican candidate for senators doing well and that matters.
That that's really that the way you play with a map if you have to seed Ohio and -- eighteen electoral votes he villas -- -- cashing in honestly we're going to mean you realize that.
For a president who got 56% of the female vote as the non incumbent to be no where near that right now and into gender race.
Is really significant.
Doug you -- Kellyanne mentioned several of the State's New Hampshire Ohio.
And Iowa Wisconsin.
Obama's barely ahead in some of those states but he's not at 50%.
That's pretty dangerous -- Next week because it's very hard if not impossible for him to get 50% he's got a discourage the undecided from voting for governor Romney.
Even if they stay home that's probably -- win for the president's so.
The presidents -- -- need an aggressive GO.
TV effort plus trying to persuade the undecided not to support governor Romney.
And and governor -- sat down next system we're talking about -- significant for another reason we often look just through the 2008 prison in his state.
In each of the states -- we just mentioned.
You had Obama carried -- states Wisconsin and Iowa and New Hampshire.
Ohio certainly but two short years later.
A Republican won at least one statewide seat in the case of Wisconsin two of them.
In the case of in the case in New Hampshire you have Kelly I -- -- so another words being in the superseding into -- factor here in 2010 elections and anything can.
Not only turn out to some kind of hybrid 182000 mean 2010.
Where the issue sets that people care about are exactly pristine today's they -- in 2010.
You're on to something I think when you couple that with the fact that.
The president is looking less like a president and more like a politician he doesn't want to talk about Ben -- let's talk about binders in big bird.
I think that you know I think this point that people are making that undecided there's usually.
Break for the -- is actually true but it's really true this year for another reason that President Obama is looking less presidential and more political.
Kelly -- I want -- continue on with you asking about the the women's vote because it's been a remarkable shift.
There was a sixteen point spread just a few weeks ago it looked insurmountable.
Now -- is virtually even match between Romney and Obama.
What on earth happened to the women's vote for Obama.
Several things happened at first of all President Obama particularly to -- -- to be in Denver had not he's not giving women permission to vote against him.
And they need that same feeling guilty they voted for him in 2008 maybe Bill Clinton's right meet me they thought needy and nobody can really get it done for years.
But not -- realize that Mitt Romney is not a frightening caricature.
He's a -- alternative nobody has disqualified Mitt Romney from being an effective commander in chief from being a competent Steward of our domestic economy.
And ironically the -- schools.
Allen -- that helped usher in Obama among women 56% of them voted for him.
Governor is now hurting him because.
Women don't know it's not just that they don't feeling better off than four years ago that's a given.
Also don't know what the next four years would be and that's a scarier prospect -- a caricature Mitt Romney four more years.
Of watt has not been answered affirmatively and positively.
All right I'll tell you somebody who is not a frightening charger that's Doug shown he's very very real person I appreciate -- very real person I -- Doug I asked this of Michael -- earlier let me pose the question to you -- the elections held today.
Who do you think ones.
You know I'm gonna give view a slightly different answer I think today.
The election isn't today and with the momentum with governor Romney I think it's ultimately a dead heat the reason I say that governor is Ohio at this point.
I think is still an Obama state.
The midwest which Mike Brown spoke of I think is still at a point where woods go narrowly.
But clearly to President Obama largely because of the geo TD effort.
And the resource advantage that did the president has had but governor look this is too close to call I could be the end and end up.
Being the one with a red face on Election Day given what I'm not saying and we've got a wild to go before all the votes are cast.
Have you noticed that I ask other people to make a prediction and I'm not making -- I have I don't user interface.
Yeah that's why coast Friday Kelly and thank you very much for being here great daddy you.