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I -- as you may know Dick Morris predicting a big landslide from Mitt Romney even though as we mentioned New York Times poll out today says president.
Will most likely win in three vital swing states Morris the other the big new best seller here comes the black helicopters he joins us now from Detroit.
So you know I'm sure our repudiate the New York Times poll.
Yeah out and -- let me go through the numbers because it's important for people to get it.
I in Florida the times says Obama's gonna win by one.
But this sample has seven points more Democrats than Republicans.
Pollster John McLaughlin and I went through the actual results of the last four elections and on average.
The Republicans had 1% more than the Democrats.
So that -- off by a factor of eight.
So instead of Obama winning by one Romney would win Florida by seven.
Obama is shown -- winning by five in the times poll.
But they had eight points more Democrats than Republicans.
And historically there were only two points more -- than -- to that six points off its own set of Romney losing by five.
He wins Ohio -- one.
And in Virginia they have Obama winning by Q.
But they had eight points more Democrats than Republicans and historically.
Is one point more Republican than Democrat.
That's off by a factor of nine Romney wins Ohio by -- wins Regina I said.
And and that's pretty much -- rove did on this little boy doubt here's my question.
Assume that all Democrats and all Republicans are gonna vote -- war.
Whoever's running in their party can you can you assume that within certainty.
Yes you can't you you get about 90%.
Voting for their party -- he can't it's the independents who split.
But what the New York Times is doing is they're taking a poll that probably -- is -- initially accurate.
I'll bet that all three of those polls sure Romney ahead.
Then they are waiting up you -- Obama -- you mean Obama ahead.
Excuse me a bombing that OK these are going to be what -- have to you know rip start again so I wanna be precise only getting I'll say -- all three artists start again I'll bet.
I'll bet that all three of those polls when they came out of the field the raw data showed Romney ahead.
They are then giving more weight to the Democrats less to the Republicans.
In order to -- the turnout that in fact happened in 2008.
Because they're assuming it'll be the same -- -- twelfth all right so you won't let me -- on the -- -- -- -- -- All up in the I know very today -- -- and they take -- down you set.
That quinnipiac which did the polling for the New York Times are right.
The raw data without any curve -- like that showed Romney winning in all three states Ohio Virginia and Florida.
The boys came in and started to waited up to 2008.
Levels correct OK correct and that and that and if we had.
At the same.
Hi black and Latino in young person turnout in twelve that we hadn't made those polls would be right back and what you say it's not gonna have to find that right.
All the data says Republicans as we pointed out much more motivated and the Obama.
So what I'm doing it.
-- so what I'm doing with John McLaughlin.
Is we're not taking the one election of -- wait.
With taking four elections 040608.
And we're averaging them.
And then we're waiting the data according to that average and that's all I'm your win -- that right that's on your website people can see it on Dick Morris dot com.
Yes OK and when you average those who have Romney winning all three of those stereo are you saying -- by live web mark's weight I only have a few minutes with.
So you are standing by your prediction of -- Romney -- line.
Absolutely Romney will win this election by five to ten points in the popular vote.
And will carry more than 300 electoral votes all right now you know Morris I have you booked for one week from tonight.
-- -- -- -- -- My question is is my appearance gonna be before or after you buy me -- I'm not buying you anything I didn't bet anything Morris I am I got your back here you know people saying terrible things about her hello I don't let's see what happens.
Look back will you -- Beckel Beckel -- how she can figure this passing away.
You -- take effect but listen I want to say something about the move on video real thrill I had eaten.
In my book black helicopters I read about had the UN.
He's sending inspectors.
To monitor the voting in the United States.
And what's gonna happen is after Romney wins this in a landslide.
The democratic narrative will be the black vote was down it was down because of unemployment disillusionment.
They'll say it's down because as fresh -- fresh and and that's how this will go into history no -- because when I don't let him get away with that Mars thanks very much we'll see you next Wednesday that'll be high noon when -- and.
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