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On the board right now you can tell a lot about these campaigns in the closing days here so here the results from 2000 -- Stephen Hayes is with me out of Washington -- Ride shotgun here good morning to you Steve -- take you back to your home state of Wisconsin because later today.
Governor Romney makes his closing argument is going to Milwaukee County southwestern part of the state here this is an area where.
Paul Ryan knows very well he's from Janesville nearby -- -- ten electoral votes in play in Wisconsin can Republicans take this state the way they've argued.
I think it's absolutely in play and if you go back and look at the recent history in the -- and go back as far as 2000 where -- just a few thousand votes separated.
Bush and Al Gore to 2004 where John Kerry.
And George W.
Bush were set were very close and then you look at some of the built in advantage that Republicans have in this state today whether it's Paul Ryan being on the ticket.
Whether it's Scott Walker having won his recall election on June 5 and expanded.
His margin from 2010.
-- previous being chairman of the Republican National Committee.
Republicans are pretty fired up and Wisconsin's.
Days are you mentioned 2004 here the results fifty to 49 Kerry over bush.
But it was less than -- I think it was like point 35%.
Right of the total vote in the states your point is well taken.
How does come back to 2008 right now on a pop down to Ohio because later tonight and the southwestern corner of the state Hamilton County.
City of Cincinnati west Chester Ohio was the town you know this from there.
I don't know finally somebody somebody's really cool -- house speaker John Boehner is from Westchester Ohio.
They're gonna have Rudy Giuliani and Condoleezza Rice and list goes on and on and on later tonight.
The reason they're doing that Steve you see the border counties here.
Around Cincinnati big vote heavily Republican but Hamilton County in Cincinnati went for Obama four years ago for the first time since 1964.
When you talk about driving voter turnout.
This is where the party's going as of today.
They be huge push.
I -- not on Tuesday night November 6 that if Republicans don't get a huge push.
Out of this area of Ohio it's not going to be a good night for them more broadly not we will watch the returns -- especially in places like Warren county.
Claremont county Butler county that -- Cincinnati.
And see whether or not they match or exceed Bush's numbers from 2004 Pennsylvania governor -- make a stop there.
This weekend to Republicans have a shot there but eleven point winner from four years ago for the president resists.
Has Hilary it's it's it's one anything that's one of these things you never know whether this is something that that they're doing out of strength throughout a week is is a real play.
They're certainly spending money there I mean Republicans are outspending Democrats about ten to one.
In Pennsylvania in this final week hoping that -- saturating the airwaves they might be able to make a push.
In what would have been otherwise fertile ground without having had -- -- you -- at this point if governor Romney wins Pennsylvania this isn't this a landslide.
-- -- -- It's a pretty big push and it's hard to imagine that he would win Pennsylvania and not do well in places like Ohio and let's not get an Iowa Democrats are are during their sentences says this is phony baloney it matters and nothing right now based on the report.
Final stop here New Hampshire twice in the next four days Steve governor Romney goes New Hampshire.
Only four electoral votes but if you look at the map -- -- what if scenarios New Hampshire to determine all -- -- the obviously the president winner there by nine points or for Senator McCain go ahead Steve.
The number of times I've played with these electoral maps and come up with that with totals that are 271.
Is frightening -- New Hampshire certainly could make a big difference.
You look at governor Romney's team you talk to to Republicans.
And they think that he's got some momentum there's public polling in recent days that is shown him.
Doing well in New Hampshire sometimes with a slight lead so -- -- there feeling pretty good about New Hampshire thank.
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