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On The Record

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Still four days ago but tonight one analyst is already kind of race watch examiner senior political analyst Michael overall look at the map.

Analyzing it and concluding governor Romney will win handily -- pricking -- -- governor around we'll get 350.

Electoral votes.

President Obama get 223.

We're back with our political panel Rick -- this is really going out at all -- he's got precise numbers he didn't announced -- -- He's not -- on this time.

-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- That he M hangs his -- largely and I'm an independent for that that's my -- gonna break around me yeah and and I think independents will break stuff for Romney but I doubt it's going to be that much angry with great that it's going to be tired than that I don't see Romney winning Pennsylvania I think he's got to win Ohio that the problem for Romney it is is numbers among Hispanics very coordinate what aiming for 38%.

Other Hispanics there in the twenties low twenties now so can he win in them in the midwest -- there aren't a lot of Hispanics.

Yes but he's got to win Ohio -- he's got to win Virginia this guy when Florida.

I think we're heading into -- 2004 nail -- you know if you look at the polls in Ohio.

Today Barack Obama is almost exactly where George W.

Bush was in the polls in Ohio eight years ago if you look at job approval ratings.

Barack Obama's job approval rating is almost exactly where George W.

Bush -- of approval rating is the only thing that's looking a little better for Romney in -- front is that Obama is actually little worse off in the polls and head to head matchups George W.

Bush had about a one point five percentage point lead going into Election Day that's right now it's even.

Rick what's the best thing politically -- that dead.

-- -- looking at right now I look to this what's the best thing politically president but let's look at -- look at what's winding down between now on Tuesday.

I think Romney looks at the number among independents he also looks at the at the possibility and -- -- building this national lead and I think disclosing on the economy closing with what works for him in terms of making that argument that he is the candidate of change.

Yes the hope for a very big weekend to turn things around a little bit in terms of the clothes and I think President Obama has the feel good about how things have developed over the last couple of days they also gonna point out those those independents are not like independence in previous cycles a lot of those are essentially Republicans so losing among independents may not be the same as it was four years ago eight years ago.

Pat what about thank as he does it governor Romney doesn't match it's his surrogates do which we discuss it here check any -- -- on -- I think guess slight bend not not a lot I think if you're on the -- thing -- he certainly does not help the president the president has been focusing on Osama bin Laden and the fact that he's dead.

But I think Ghazi if you -- on the fence maybe that eat you vote against the president.

But one way or the other in the lot people now for Romney and Obama and -- the guys he's not change their mind.

Panel thank you very much I could see.