Impact of negative campaign on a second Obama term
Doug Schoen and Pat Caddell weigh in
- Duration 6:23
- Date Nov 4, 2012
Doug Schoen and Pat Caddell weigh in
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-- -- prediction was dead on last year that shown impacted Dell said we would witness -- -- the Nazis presidential campaigns ever.
The pair wrote an op Ed in the Wall Street Journal back in November -- eleven.
And wrote quote it seems that the White House has concluded that if the president cannot run his record he will need to wage the most negative campaign in history.
To stand any chance.
And then he went on to say.
That all of that negativity would then make it virtually impossible for the president to govern.
If he does win a second to second term they wrote quote.
By going down the reelection road.
And into partisan mode the president has effectively guaranteed to -- that the -- remainder of his term will be marred by the resentment and division.
That have eroded our national identity -- -- purpose and most of all our economic strength and that is what they thought would happen in a second term for the president.
Joining me now Doug -- who's a former advisor to President Bill Clinton and packet out as a former pollster for President Carter but -- Fox News contributor so.
Before I get to your dire predictions about what would happen if President Obama won a second -- -- pick up with.
Because you were right about the the negative campaign I think any fair minded viewer can agree with that that this campaign has just been so I would -- -- area.
And the numbers bear that out when you look at the advertising it's something like 80% of the ads but both sides right have been negative ads.
Not positive ads and where does that leave us today.
It leaves us more divided than when we wrote the article.
A year ago American and it leaves us in a position that of President Obama is reelected with a narrow majority of the electoral vote and arguably loses the popular vote we could be.
Winds very narrowly we could have.
NA and yes because you know what.
The common purpose to pat -- rode up.
Has largely dissipated there's no sense that we -- the United States of America -- two camps Democrat and Republican.
There's no sense we have common challenges economically and overseas bottom line I think I think -- agrees that we are -- resignation as a result of this campaign.
-- the year ended the day after the election but I -- but I ask you this group before you make that point why doesn't apply to governor Romney -- -- does it because they say that hey he's been as negative as the president or do you help.
For -- real compelling vision.
And meanwhile he took a dive on Libya an issue of great importance of leadership.
Which may end up costing in the presence of a sudden we have many good -- come on -- yeah bunch of -- politically and ambition.
Trampling everything we have hope and change more -- -- conquer.
Which is what has happened and we have brought me who's only messages on my got to wanna get elected in any cost and I'm not a -- and I'm not Obama.
That's all then let me take some we're headed after November if Obama selected the notion that the Republicans after he -- waged -- campaign he's gonna do.
-- the Republicans released keep the house you're gonna cooperate is foolhardy in the let me -- he also faces he faces.
What happened Watergate Iran Contra by.
Running the clock out or her armor on Iraq and all of the little -- -- everything else a let's all -- in -- you know I mean -- is the he is about all of that's coming back to bite him because that cover up.
Couldn't do his presidency in terms of effectiveness -- -- whether it be impeach -- -- affect what happens if President Obama wins on Tuesday night.
And these Republicans in the house or not.
They're not any more likely break -- -- to work across AIL and you know I don't know whether he's anymore like they were cross that he says it will be.
But what are -- to looking at a lame duck presidency from day one.
I think we're potentially looking into things a lame duck presidency.
Divided and polarized.
Culture in Washington and indeed in the country and the other thing is the potential of literally going over the fiscal -- I know the Smart money in Washington is that the politicians in the political class would get together it didn't happen in July of 2011 so there anyway.
Price soared -- as a -- business -- -- where we're gonna make these were massive job cuts to our domestic Manning into our military.
And then they tried to fix it already make it -- -- was supposedly fix an -- I -- my port worse there's another appointment to -- which is that there are planning on the wise guys in Washington the political class.
We're -- of elections to make choices.
Since we've been offered no choice is there -- solution is oh by the way now that you people voted.
Now we will get -- -- back grooming cut a deal and figure out with a lame duck congress and what could be a lame duck president.
You want to talk about -- legitimate.
That's not the way our -- supposed to functions also function we have election choices are made.
We come together behind mandates in consensus and what we have now or simply people willing to do anything the -- on a powerful symbol.
Part can I shift gears and ask you both as pollsters to former presidents.
What you make of all the conflicting polling information we -- seeing right now and what your guts tell you.
We'll likely happen Tuesday well.
I think coach.
Pat and I may well have slightly different views from a somewhere perspective it's.
Very very close it's within the margin of -- what might grown and Bret Bair said are absolutely right.
I give the slightest of advantages.
To President Obama based on.
The whole range of polls in the swing states that appear to favor him but bottom line I think what pat believes.
There's been momentum to governor Romney the last few days -- last point four -- -- 24 -- myself.
Used it for yourself.
He does that well.
-- shelling Saturday night speak for myself I had ivory came to me this morning.
I've the -- the election I've forgotten about the we should focus on us what happened in 1976.
When card now both been the popular -- -- incumbent and Carter.
-- and on Sunday Gallup came out of the race he showed both of deported -- by one point.
I am telling you on Sunday and Monday when the issue became suddenly are we gonna keep Gerald Ford.
Rather than choice on Sunday and Monday that thing broke to Carter another day and we would have 330 electoral votes.
And I'm -- you wonder whether or not looking at this thing.
Whether that may be emotion we just don't know what a whole lot better idea tomorrow morning when we see -- Finally after -- -- -- off for -- interesting hi guys thank you so much for all the great analysis you've done for us -- -- -- so much.