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Dick Morris explains why he believes Mitt Romney could decisively defeat Obama and seal his fate as a one-term president
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I'm -- -- -- of last week Dick Morris went on the record saying governor Romney will win by a landslide.
So two days out says he stand by his there's never predict -- something changed it while I was cleaning decked out I'd say hi dad what do you think.
We're gonna win by a landslide.
The it will be the biggest surprise.
In recent American political history.
It will rekindle a whole question as to why the media played this race as -- nail biter.
Where in fact I think Romney's gonna win by quite a bit.
My own view is that Romney's trying to carry 325.
Electoral votes.
We have a map I think you can show them.
That he I think he's can win Florida Virginia North Carolina.
Indiana.
These -- states that Obama won last time.
Iowa.
Ohio.
New Hampshire.
Pennsylvania.
Wisconsin.
And of Minnesota.
And I think that the that this is -- in Colorado this is going to be a landslide and I think in the popular vote.
He's can win by more than five points.
And I base this not on intuition or on smelling the tea leaves -- base it on reading the polls.
The exact same polls that say that Obama's gonna win.
When you look at those polls and you study them.
And you take accountable of the fact gives you see how those polls are telling you Romney will win and a landslide.
Let let me just give me an example pew research has a poll out today that says Obama will win 51.
To 47.
Three points fifty to 47.
And.
OK fifty to 47 that -- look at their sample and they have four points more Democrats than Republicans.
Will Gallup which has done the definitive study on party ID.
In the last week with over fourth I was in interviews says that it should be three points more Republicans than Democrats.
To that hole with seven points wrong.
So when it says Romney's can lose by three he's gonna win by four.
And then on top of that in -- -- -- data.
They say the Romney voters or 68 points more likely to vote.
Then Obama voters so that's another three point add that on top -- that you've got Romney winning by seven.
And then we all know that the undecided vote always breaks against the incumbent.
Take the seven -- points -- undecided after he moved those numbers around split into 21.
-- -- have Romney winning by eight or nine points in the exact same poll that they're passing off as being a three point Obama victory.
And go into each of these state polls and you drill down taking count of those.
Three -- the sample being two democratic the -- being oriented toward Romney.
And the undecided going against the incumbent.
And you get a sense of the true shape of what this election is going to be all about.
I want either you're really really right and really really much smarter anybody does or you're off the Iraq their -- because he's -- -- know what else is saying it's -- It's not a question of being smarter than anybody else since that I've done this for a living and there are very few people on television who talk about politics and never made a living doing it.
And most of them apart -- NN echoing a point of view.
But when you get down to at a guy like Karl Rove were -- Geller me or even Joseph Trippi.
We make a living doing lists and I made a living doing it for forty years and I know how to read a poll.
And this is how you read the pole and that's what this poll says and you're gonna see it on Election Day.
Am it's your decision you could Pennsylvania as they wind.
Florida governor Romney -- -- it -- -- Obama are not president -- President Clinton is headed there I think tomorrow.
That would be a big surprise.
It would it not being mean that would shock most people Pennsylvania went to the Republicans.
Well on the one hand it hasn't gone Republican for president since 88.
On the other hand last year they elected a Republican governor who has is that the legislature five new Republican congressman and and they -- Republican senator.
So it's not that of -- that much of a surprise but the latest poll has this stayed at 4747.
And you go through the same -- I went through and you're looking at I believe about a five or six point win in Pennsylvania.
And so I mean yeah I think it's gonna -- I think the the out liar here is Michigan where I think his UAW staff will really help the president the GM staff.
I think I'm pretty -- Nevada.
I -- and that I don't seem winning any of these swing states.
-- I have twenty seconds left under your scenario I'm governor Romney can lose Ohio.
And still he will win because you have up 325.
Points at writers on the -- 325 absolutely.
Absolutely Ohio it's overrated he can win and will win Pennsylvania Wisconsin and a very good shots and Minnesota.
That's a little iffy and he'll never even have to think twice about a higher but he's gonna win Ohio.
Big thank you will we are out watching I got this stick like I say here is there really really Smart and arena you have a new -- -- you hold me accountable.
The pilot thank --
