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Is Ohio key to a Romney win?

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    Pat Caddell breaks down polling in swing states

  • Duration 4:08
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They would -- it tonight -- he said the talking points memo Mitt Romney may very well win Florida Virginia North Carolina however Ohio as a key.

To mr.

Anthony's future here now former democratic pollster now Fox's future period I have to apologize you were pulling for Carter when he walked.

And 76 when you wrote eleven years old when -- was an amazing moment not can come about them right -- An election mr.

Ford -- -- OK so when you when you looking at the polls let's take Pennsylvania.

Okay that that's an interest XT.

So.

It was thought to be a safe -- -- Barack Obama but now.

Some polls say Romney -- shot if Romney were to win Pennsylvania he's -- president and he wins right.

Right so what's the deal.

It here's what's happening in Pennsylvania some -- other states from the first debate.

I've I've argued that Ohio Florida Virginia in some ways been poisoned by so much money so much negative months so much field operation.

When we had the first debate Romney moved the movement in the states who were supposed to be safe for Obama was even greater than it was -- swing states Pennsylvania among them.

We may be in the situation where both states are relatively -- and.

You know I don't think he should have because stayed Obama they haven't -- -- him by the negative ads there.

And Ronnie was demonize the way he was exactly I'll and they don't have the ground game they have everywhere -- it but they do have a big did the president's.

Team.

Has a big get out the vote campaign and all minority precincts everywhere in -- country.

But they concentrated on the swing states this is like military -- but let me just say.

-- but look let's talk talk about the overall what's happening which is important -- Monica point.

Romney made a mistake I believe and I said that the time buy another reducing Libya for the same reason we all agree -- we all -- because you would have contrasts in -- the storm.

History tells -- the states have missed it for example against incumbent and challenger.

The incumbent usually gets a bounce toward the end Obama got a exaggerated by the storm okay yeah but in 1976.

Gallop on Saturday night had Ford one point ahead of Carter he caught up.

On Sunday and Monday it -- back to Carter very strongly.

And the reason was because -- with the issue became suddenly and was suddenly she was oh my god -- really gonna keep Gerald -- Wall now -- -- of this becomes an issue for people in making those -- decisions.

Like Obama personally all polls say that.

That day and just like George W.

Bush lauded like you did like they like the president Dave being the majority of jobs -- -- -- yeah of course it is.

But you know there are few people.

Who even at this late date don't know what they're gonna do crime most of them are in saloons and they have to pull them out I but they just don't know what they're gonna do.

And when it comes -- -- like ability in this race Obama defeats Mitt Romney and like ability.

On somebody asked for their favor abilities are now even according to Gallup -- into the same Romney visited your mommy was out of this saying before the first -- -- ninety minutes of that.

The question for people is we're gonna -- those last minute people you can't get what are they gonna vote law.

And the problem for the president.

When makes this different -- -- is the economy -- -- -- mommy's gonna -- this is in the margin of corruption you don't let your prediction north to the selection the margin of corruption lingo in the way.

But I really do you think probably the last day or so it has started to kick.

Back from -- and that's what Krauthammer beliefs if there's one state that that Romney could pick off.

That people don't expect it to be as I said.

It opened my eyes the president went to Wisconsin Wisconsin right which -- think that's the one -- which can't -- Wisconsin had a presidential election this year.

Two over two million gunman still on the recall that both sides invested heavily Republican amass some ground we embittered -- Remember it was going to be close from the exit polls on nights and losing that no Republicans won by saying are you predicting -- not want to say your best man.

That's hand you ask me I think he's got -- I'm not -- gonna win I'm saying I think this movement could be you don't several states who wants to our couldn't.

-- -- everybody there is an.

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