Gingrich on chances of 'change' Election Day
Former House Speaker and presidential candidate on the latest polls and whether Mitt Romney will pull out a victory over President Obama
Nov 5, 2012
Former House Speaker and presidential candidate on the latest polls and whether Mitt Romney will pull out a victory over President Obama
Nov 5, 2012
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In -- our 59 minutes and about 55 seconds polls open in two tiny New Hampshire towns.
-- -- notch and Hart's location the election while it started meanwhile governor running pres Obama still rallying supporters to get out the vote.
Tomorrow we may again hate you tomorrow.
Tomorrow we -- again behave better tomorrow.
This nation is gonna begin to change for the better tomorrow.
This should not be -- him.
We tried our ideas there one.
The economy -- we created jobs deficits when.
We tried their business -- work.
He got -- good girl.
Not to -- -- doesn't.
And my bags and don't bet against -- American baseball.
You heard -- right now.
Yeah we -- this.
Smart intellectual analysis of this.
Everything I see plus the whole.
Not -- close.
300 plus electoral votes are grumbling when the president of the United States is asking for people to vote as revenge we got to know that's a pretty -- What we see now.
-- in administration and presidency.
Littered with broken promises.
It's the most partisan atmosphere will be seen in decades.
He didn't bring people together -- dividing people.
You know that I know what real -- looks like because you.
The -- -- I've got good players -- You have my back.
And that's fine.
We didn't give up one and now -- -- working there.
Obama hasn't done -- The economy has hurt.
Everything -- has harmed the dad has worsened the deficit there isn't anything that's improved.
Actually think the question this election comes out of it.
You want four more years like the last four years.
Or do you want real change.
Yeah for real change but it's not just something -- talk about it's something I.
I will do as -- -- president but that's.
Two national polls showing the same results governor Romney up by one.
Both Gallup and Rasmussen showing governor Ronnie -- pres Obama 49%.
To 48% of course.
That is well within the margin -- former speaker of the house Newt Gingrich joins us before we talk about those -- -- notch and Hart's location in no less about our 57 minutes.
It's great it's the American drama.
After all the talk all the ads.
All the pontificating the American people get to tell us.
And so -- for these two little -- to be the first and I have been I think since.
1912 or something that's an amazing experience and a question Hampshire run as a swing state says this time around but doubled its New Hampshire second.
The two national polls just been governor Romney up by a by one might have been it's tied.
Today's national polls mean anything right now there -- or should we be focusing on these state by state and do they mean anything.
I don't think any other means anything you can rely on there are two alternative universe is out there.
If you believe as one national -- -- two days ago that this is going to be an 11%.
Voting base they got to a tie between Romney and Obama listening to be -- Democrats and 11% more likely to vote.
That's higher than 2008.
We have to wonder -- brain was that on the other hand if you believe as I do as a lot of other key players do that.
The energy the enthusiasm.
-- the drive is on the Romney side.
I -- -- one example they're talking about democratic early voting in Ohio.
But they're counting the counties along the Ohio River which are coal country.
Which are Second Amendment gun rights country which -- god fearing country all the things Obama used to have contempt for.
Back in San Francisco in 2008.
Those Democrats who vote against Obama.
When didn't go early voting and vote for Obama these these counties are next to West Virginia where a convicted felon got 40% of the democratic primary for president.
And so I think I think you're likely to see around me my my personal guess is you'll see -- -- landslide.
Plus in the electoral in the popular vote.
300 electoral votes plus and we may come very close to capturing control the senate in that context.
-- -- -- -- told the people who are looking at the polls and the people who are projecting a governor Romney win are Dick Morris.
Michael Brown Newt Gingrich is a question Karl Rove Joseph gala or someone who you tell me about and then Rush Limbaugh I just heard -- that sound -- Not so good but I think it's two different universe -- I mean either the traditional liberal media and the traditional liberal pollsters are right.
And they believe there's going to be this huge Obama turnout or.
And I was very struck just -- -- -- the New York Times hardly.
A right -- reporter said the states he'd been in this last week all that this race was the organic enthusiasm was all for Romney.
There was a mechanical machine for Obama and there was organic enthusiasm for Romney.
My friends of politics is organic enthusiasm the that the the -- the whole wave effect always -- man with the mechanics.
Is there any -- either panic do between now and the polls close in tomorrow night hours every.
Romney's doing so there's still there's something to be -- so it -- Romney goes to Pittsburgh tomorrow.
In the middle of coal country.
Whether Obama's war against -- Romney's appeal in the eastern Ohio.
He's the only people in Pittsburgh but he's also -- -- to western Virginia which is coal country.
And of course is appealing places -- -- -- like Kentucky and Missouri and southern Illinois and -- West Virginia.
The fact that they -- Pittsburgh tomorrow is a big deal.
He's gonna go into the ethnic Europe eastern European parts of -- Cleveland.
We lose the second largest Hungarian city after Budapest.
Cleveland's huge polish American city.
They Romney rally among those folks is going to be a -- is gonna undercut a lot of Obama's vote coming out of Cuyahoga -- Is set to -- -- to -- get out the vote to encouraging -- did possess an up or do you think that there are some people actually undecided and those pockets.
Both I think there are some undecided but I think -- I think there -- a lot more people.
I'm quite sure -- -- and vote -- and suddenly they at this surge of energy.
Mean I think that the numbers for example Madison Wisconsin which are very striking in Madison has a local very very liberal congresswoman running for -- I would have thought their turnout would have been way up.
They just had a rally in Madison there were 181000 people there.
We just know the -- the student population there is up around forty or 50004.
Years ago doors 80000.
People -- and that means a rally for years ago.
Was more than four times bigger.
-- the rally this year second example in Madison.
There absentee ballot turnout is down radically the Republican counties are up.
And I think Paul Ryan friendly people Wisconsin as you know is -- -- she said.
People Wisconsin are very proud of the local boy doing well and I think that Ryan is likely to help carry this state and my guess is Wisconsin's -- -- for -- -- at -- Bill Clinton really -- brought up about Pennsylvania I thought -- and you show that that he and the fact that he was going to Pennsylvania for President Obama this late.
Was actually indication that the Obama campaign was not so certain that that is locked up.
Look I think the fact that Romney was in Bucks County Sunday night for huge rally.
I think over 30000 people the fact he's coming back to Pittsburgh.
Which we're told is the second biggest area of Democrats for Romney after North Carolina.
-- a big indicator the fact that there Karl Rove is group as he himself said -- put two million dollars in advertising this weekend to Pennsylvania.
Tells you facilities of my and I -- you.
When you get and I think it's Smart to send Bill Clinton and because Obama can't help himself and there are no votes in Pennsylvania.
That Obama doesn't already have that a visit by Obama will get him.
Bill Clinton is the best chance they have of breaking some folks lose the Oakland is a great campaigner.
But I think faced with the war on coal and faced with the cultural values differences.
Bills not the -- is not -- very much impact in Pennsylvania.
What you thought on this -- you know that President Clinton pretty -- -- event we've worked with him around for many years as opponents look upon us.
This political marriage between their -- Obama and President Clinton now.
Well first evolve just as I'm a loyal Republican bill comes a loyal Democrat the party was good damage created -- he -- I'm.
His natural instinct is to campaign and he likes campaign it's fun.
His wife works for the guy.
I mean so there's a -- And I like also ran against a guy in the campaign in 08 says some things essentially Allen Bill Clinton a racist campaign well -- a tougher it's a tough race as it may remember.
-- but yeah I suspect that Bill Clinton is collecting IOUs.
In case Hillary wants to run in 2016.
I think that knowing knowing built on land confident that he thinks -- running into -- sixteen is a good idea.
Alice good -- some of -- senate races Massachusetts.
Elizabeth Warren and Scott Brown.
I think brown has pulled back slightly ahead of her he has a chance to win the challenger was nearly the size of the Obama waved them in Massachusetts.
I think it's a very tough -- to keep but he's had a very very good campaign and Elizabeth Warren has some pretty strange weaknesses.
-- pretending to be -- native Americans -- -- And you know I think it's a hard race that I did in my mind that's one of the hardest -- -- country.
In Wisconsin Tammy Baldwin and as they -- Tammy Baldwin and former governor HHS secretary Tommy Thompson Thompson -- probably -- -- points.
-- -- -- You know that the -- that look the fact is in the end everybody is undecideds gonna vote for Tommy.
Think they do you know the state well you -- sick how would you like a Madison liberal in the US senate.
We are -- in the there's a newspaper the Green Bay press gazette which is maybe it's it it has endorsed governor Romney.
Republican and -- and -- Tammy Baldwin a very liberal Democrat and passed over -- governor Thompson.
That's over the surprise I just how many times has won five straight races of the state.
He was a very creative governor helped invent welfare reform in that helped -- in school choice.
He isn't knows more about health care than almost an elected official in the country.
And I just think I was out campaigning within two weeks ago alliance into just he's he's got to win by probably a slightly bigger margin -- Romney's in Kansas State.
Missouri have center like Tesco and it can't play well -- first two I've been out campaigning coast and I both platform.
-- really liked Todd -- can I really think that he was given -- very bum rap for the national establishment.
She is a very Obama like voter in the state which voted 71% against obamacare.
And then she voted for obamacare six weeks later.
-- and and running -- a Kansas State probably by -- eight to twelve points so I think they can who's gonna win by probably three points.
If prescilla President Obama Israel acts and I was you know that you don't want him to do really acted and you and you and you tap though I'm.
What didn't what happens when and -- convenes back in Washington.
Think they would depend on them.
Obama would hit some -- is not -- -- all you Obama would have to be willing to actually listen.
Now whether or not is that the -- is -- John Boehner is going to be the speaker of the house period that's done it's over.
So you I'm actually -- I'm listen to Boehner.
We're just go through some transactional baloney meeting -- is and talk with conservatives.
Or just collection of them.
We have no evidence as of today that -- Obama's capable of listening to anybody who doesn't -- He says the other way around that the Republicans decided that they used to be a one term president they're missing -- everything you said.
Sure most of them.
The question as I said as he is -- to listen you can't commend and say hi I'm gonna ram through everything I want.
And -- when -- is Harry Reid -- senate to block everything you want.
Now -- we do what I want but if you if you listen on the -- stopped he says -- anybody who agree with me now work with.
Well being ninety every follow that attitude.
-- Harry Reid we expect that the senate -- remain instead democratic.
It may if it does -- narrower it may not have them and Romney margin is big enough.
And have Romney becomes president his first real job will be to create a Romney democratic wing.
But reaching out to senators are coming up for election in 2014.
And senators who have realism philosophically believe -- -- have to have six -- senators and Democratic Party willing to vote with him against Reid.
In order to govern effectively.
I'm just trying to figure out what's different.
In terms of how this -- operates if remains Republican congress.
-- represented us and democratic.
Senate and a presence reelect.
A -- it'll be worse.
Because the scandals and only a bigger than all of the scandals involving solar power of any bigger than guys he's gonna get bigger it's all been -- worse is not gonna get better.
Why doesn't -- brought up by governor -- -- who admittedly we've been very aggressive in trying to get the facts here Fox News and -- been in the administration isn't happy with us about it but.
Governor Romney sort of image he has not been he has not put that as an issue on foreign policy -- governor -- In his job for the last six weeks has been to do exactly what Ronald Reagan did.
In 1980 assuming car.
To reassure moderates and women that he is any reasonable person a positive person and somebody that they could trust with the presidency.
Every time he picks a fight he loses -- mean all of us love it but he loses ground.
With the group he needs to finish the election off and so I think they've done a very disciplined very solid job.
Of communicating what they need to communicate meanwhile people like John McCain.
Have been very tough and very direct Lindsey Graham has a very good job Darrell ice is -- an image of a number of us have tried due to raise the issues.
In a very aggressive way.
Any reason if for -- administered a -- for political reasons to defeat president Anwar dairy raises because you think this is -- time to talk about it and and I think.
When you have.
Four Americans killed by terrorists and you have an administration.
That failed to respond timely way -- covered up the entire thing then lied about what -- it and is up to this day.
Not telling the truth you have a moral obligation on behalf of the people who died for their country to raise the issue.
You should change my view on something because -- -- -- you idiot it's the end of -- -- -- said the other night with us is that it got pushed up to election today.
Because -- the started on September 11.
Because -- administration.
Didn't answer questions and actually valid the right I had to say silly story when something so serious is toward that but did but the administration is the reason why this is viewed any -- -- anybody.
They -- -- told the truth on the twelfth of September.
And then here we are over and what's gonna happen after living appearance at the end of sure that it's -- you you can't have an incident of this scale.
And -- know this is an American and that's the first -- -- frankly since Jimmy Carter was president.
Three other Americans died innocent and is in a fight we lost and we -- all sorts of secret documents the whole thing is a total mass.
And I think that -- do you use the congress has an obligation to look into -- the -- the other big thing you have to login to.
Is the total failure of the department Homeland Security had to learn the lessons of Katrina you watch over the next three or four weeks -- everything you're seeing on Staten Island.
-- the government to Barack Obama thinks is confident enough to handle your health care.
I mean this is a really bad situation.
And I think -- -- the presidential campaign it's not getting the attention should be getting bigger thank you.
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