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D'Amato: Romney will carry battleground states

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    Former senator explains math behind prediction

  • Duration 3:56
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2012 Elections

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Wait for real time their center Alfonzo model Fox's contributor former Republican New York senator how you doing sir good morning to you -- Good to be -- -- but you know and a few -- view as you go from Monica and beautiful to Alfonse -- stats that are trying to protect the -- for a day.

-- listen you know others early voting in Ohio.

Yes what do you make of what you're hearing about early voting what can we what can we legitimately reports about what we're picking up -- -- -- numb and I'm gonna -- on the line item and give you well what the numbers -- for years ago what they are now.

Democrats carried or more Democrats voting in early voting by about 500000.

More.

Republicans on Election Day about 230000.

More came out the read the Democrats carried the state by almost a quarter of a million votes this time.

You -- 250000.

More Democrats and Republicans that's a loss of 250.

And the enthusiasm.

With Republicans coming out Election Day.

It's a five point swing.

Romney will carry Ohio.

That's my prediction on right on by a 100000 -- by a 100000 because I was bush over Kerry by 118 and 2004.

Well -- -- telling you it is going to be -- swing -- energy.

And the Republicans initial lack of that enthusiasm.

And energy just look at the numbers 250000.

Fewer Democrats in early voting.

This year in Ohio.

Then four years ago so what what about African Americans Hispanics.

Young people -- see that -- was that was the Triad from 2008 well.

In Indonesia do they come out with the same amount of support this time as -- -- four years ago while they come -- with almost the same amount of support but where the president today -- Democrats are lacking is the independents who went overwhelmingly.

For Obama are not going overwhelmingly and many of you -- moderate Democrats are disappointed.

And some of them will stay -- And a few will even vote for Romney so that's a big difference and you -- the same thing taking place in Florida.

Where -- -- vote between Democrats and Republicans -- -- Colorado for example 2%.

More Democrats.

Voted.

Early voting -- that time four years ago.

It is down by 2% the Republicans have taken a two percentage stretch of 4% swing in Colorado that will give this state to Romney.

Show and you see this taking place early voting in Pennsylvania.

That same trend setting -- -- you're predicting.

Romney victory I am on the way you're describing this as you're you know you're you're chalking up 300 electoral votes for.

-- -- 300 -- because I think he's going to carry all of those battleground states that the economy is that the jobs if you're right do we come back tomorrow and say bring the beast back bay -- -- now.

Bring the b.'s back because he's the economy it's because people.

Don't like to do this is news.

It's because people are genuinely afraid for the future of this country ending their fight -- and I don't mean to cut you -- -- but I fifteen seconds short.

I know you folks are struggling out there along to -- -- devastation and I know it is in my best to you.

Is the federal government our local officials really giving you what you need.

What we do well understand we didn't get the generators into the places that they should have been quickly enough for example up.

And it wasn't because our lack of effort.

These things have to be pre planned.

You have to know when gas stations go -- you -- have generated so you come -- -- the guess that's why you let these huge gas lines them.

So I I hopefully we've learned a lesson because it will be storms and if the measure that's -- our best to you -- senator frank thank you sir beast will -- good to -- it if you.