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Getting live pictures back from Manchester, New Hampshire the wire services there report are predicting that almost three quarters of the state voters.
Will turn out today that's good.
It's a sharp jump over 2008.
As we await the final results -- next guests are two former campaign insiders who spent many long nights in various political headquarters on Election Day.
And Rollins the former director of the 1984 successful Reagan reelection campaign and Joseph Trippi is a former Howard Dean campaign manager both are Fox News contributors.
So ask you about.
What these candidates are.
Doing today and any president Bosnian plays -- best of our told and tell out but it you -- -- -- Vice President -- out there to campaign Mitt Romney did a little campaigning.
I mean take us through what it's night what's likely for the kids it's the.
Hardest day of all it is today in which there really is no campaigning.
You see Romney didn't include the today but -- -- you know do nothing.
So you -- you go into these men have been very very active with the teams and very very -- -- kind of sitting around waiting as we all are here for the first numbers to -- It's in today's and they get their information in a different how will they find out tonight what the results are Jeff.
-- I've been there I mean they they literally.
At first I -- right it's it's.
Horrible -- to go through nothing it just feels like time -- -- moving at all you're just sort of and there's nothing you can do you said he he walks into a phone bank if he does that everybody stops -- Graham because the candidates -- came here I mean just eat you disrupt things or -- or you can't I mean his time is indeed.
But what happens when the numbers are come and it's really interest thing because particularly if it's bad news.
It is bad news how the candidate can find out is -- it's really kind of this weird game of you tell -- no no you tell me really wants it to.
Yeah you'll -- -- you fight no -- I'm sure injured was more than willing to tell his candidate.
But you we need you know as someone who I've gone up from little lower level of mid level high level -- campaign.
It always surprised me.
In a loss how the top disorders stood there and when it -- Simmer for awhile before one of them finally got up the nerve to go tell the boss the most wasn't gonna -- Most interesting we we we did polls on the -- on Air Force One who was gonna win.
And the ones who always the most accurate Secret Service guys Secret Service guys have been out they basically solve crowds and they said wow and in the Reagan campaign for eight years ago and they wouldn't -- -- and -- landslide that.
They were the most accurate and anybody that.
What do you think is the what I -- -- -- trying to understand if they had are they relying on the same -- sure alumni data that we -- sure they have their own people what these and.
What what what you have -- he's around the country -- tell you where they're turning out it it what kinds of crowds -- there but they have no idea.
The -- in game until we haven't here minutes -- saying they're not doing -- themselves it's too expensive to do.
And they wait they way for the networks I mean it.
What is it this -- and the rate and the ringing campaign which was you had come on the -- little that's not been.
Not enough to play over judge yeah Paula how do you say yeah that's me you're a great you know we don't let us do our job.
Find out pointed out -- except I know which one against two you have.
That is that I whereas no explanation and as Tom Bradley 1981 and it's that's an interesting every -- of the Bradley Effect.
Well that was one where we we knew -- and in fact all three exit polls said we'd won the governorship -- I remember watching on TV from the presidential suite.
Our chairman being asked on the floor what it would have felt like to be the new chief of staff for the governor of California.
And that was one where.
No one told him we we knew we were looking at returns coming in over the computer in in and and we -- dwindling away -- He wasn't up at all three networks had a -- I play Atlanta as well as both director I was the one who had a ten and had a -- because the top guys.
We put an extra check it would put -- that.
Who put an absentee ballot program in effect in California as the first one really ever done this -- 1982.
And we won the absentee ballots he won Election Day.
But we had enough absentee ballots that we basically then that was really the first time pursued -- absentee ballot gambit had been played in.
-- and that's -- team Obama's right to get ahead early voting today there but it is what happened was they do what they just came minutes of like hey why don't you go over the numbers with mayor Mike.
Don't want to do well you know what do you think -- -- -- -- Tony -- -- bottom line to the man saying.
You've lost or do you just basically said look there there's going to be a 100000 votes coming in from Orange County in a few minutes and when it comes in we're gonna go and we're gonna.
Go behind and I don't see a place where we can make it up.
And it's just don't have I mean I mean it.
They've worked so hard no matter what -- -- think no matter who we want to win they've -- worked so hard -- so many people who have worked so hard for them and you know god bless American democracy this is the way it works.
But but it must be very harsh and it's.
Really difficult and -- both these candidates think they're gonna win I mean that's symbols of these campaigns think to do you believe that.
I have definitely this I agree that I've had I've had the misfortune of walking in when the feeling has been sitting there in the early returns and come -- and they think they're winning I think the president is governor.
And it and I have to tell them no.
You're not the number I'm talking about an accident -- we're about to go in and in a critical period tonight where we will go on the air will get the first wave of exit poll data.
And and -- start to get some raw vote in but.
You know back in 2004 the initial exit poll data was totally wrong with -- the John Kerry.
Was way -- there was no way that bush was gonna make up the difference and that is what the -- went on out on the air understanding.
Brit Hume says an -- he's very grateful to this day he didn't overplay that information.
Because it wound up being dead wrong so should we trust what we are starting to hear from exit polls and I -- No I don't think we've got on the -- act and I think this time it's even worse because who knows I don't think think.
We know for sure how to count the early voting and with what happens today is people come -- other.
-- the polling this I would take anything that we heard today I think information why did people vote for one person over the other.
Did the economy have.
One thing you'll watch -- saying -- that there are white and biodiversity and not a white voters there and that an age if this if this it is an older electorate can and get some brown 75%.
Wife and I think -- the is going to be the president next president of the united states of its units.
The younger electorate slightly younger that the Obama people feel and more diverse electorate.
In terms of -- being more route 72% of the vote.
Then I think Barack Obama's the president -- that suggest that -- -- had a different view edit yourself as far as safety check as you've got he and Karl Rove to the smartest guys that we are.
Very grateful for that Iowa I watched them on the primaries and they knew exactly removed -- I've never -- that much into the weeds but I've always want to have somebody like Melissa.
Well Joseph will be there he'll be honest that was along with -- analyzing the data so you will help us understand and put -- perspective for the viewers -- he won't be confused.
Guys thank you think -- been so much to get.
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