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Larry Sabato's crystal ball was right again

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    Political guru predicted Obama victory

  • Duration 2:38
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This has been a roller coaster campaign with many saying that this election would be too close to call.

But not for our next guest he and his crystal ball got it right again.

He called the election for the president but just how act.

-- once well we'll find out he was right on the money OK let's cut right to -- seven -- professor put the -- University of Virginia in Rome has gone up and people wanna go into your classic.

It said doctor Stabenow said likely Obama likely to win reelection.

-- almost nailed it to the -- what -- your numbers and right now we have pres Obama at 303 -- 206.

Well we actually by Election Day had put Virginia in Obama's column that raised him from 29 303.

But remember he's likely to win Florida.

We missed Florida we thought we estimated Romney would win Florida by 1% in fact he -- lost and apparently by a fraction of 1% so.

Florida for us was -- for the surprise but we got the other ones right so what made you marry.

Switched to Virginia on the last day for Obama.

Because I always look at the last minute drift its not even a trend it's adrift.

And it was pretty obvious by that point that even the Republicans were telling me in this state.

5050.

Well when somebody tells me that about their own candidate than the other side says they're gonna win by a pointer to -- that that's important to me.

-- do know that.

Because they have tracking polls and they have informal.

Measures.

You know enthusiasm which was stressed too much in the past campaign that's important but.

Some other primary indicators -- -- key groups.

Are going is much better and -- -- -- if this is a prevailing thought everyone agreed the economy and it was the main issue.

But most over 50% thought it still was Bush's fault.

Yes you know it at various times Brian and and -- we talked about.

The fact that.

Obama was -- well positioned to benefit from the fact that he was first term that his party had only been in for four years.

When you succeed a president who had major problems and and economic collapse occurred on Bush's watch.

You you can't get away with blaming go back and watch Bill Clinton's speech at the Democratic Convention.

It was pretty much about the -- the prior administration was responsible it worked.

All right there we use stick around because I want to ask you about the mid term elections can't believe I'm gonna say that -- look get your predictions.

Right after this break -- --

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