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Who will claim victory for Mideast ceasefire?

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    Reaction from the Washington Institute's Michael Singh

  • Duration 3:05
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You Michaels saying joins us now he's a former senior director for middle east affairs.

At the National Security Council he is currently the managing director of the Washington institute Michael I know that we as news people are sometimes skeptical but.

Wow Hillary Clinton flies in Egypt signs on Israel signs off -- this and all the sudden we have peace -- mean things in the Middle East just don't seem to work.

That's smoothly.

Your take.

About Trace everyone especially Washington is -- a sigh of relief here -- -- -- in there there are a lot of -- parties which will claim.

A victory here I think that set for Secretary Clinton still this'll be portrayed as a diplomatic victory.

I think the Israelis will say look they they accomplished most of what they wanted to accomplish especially degrading those rockets stocks that Hamas had.

And I think -- -- Egypt will say look they successfully brokered a cease fire.

And they've reasserted Egypt's leadership role in the region.

I think -- Trace it also Hamas will say that they won a victory here that they stood up to Israel.

-- -- rockets reach Tel Aviv and Jerusalem and that's one of the key questions here is has Hamas been strengthened.

And the Palestinian Authority marginalized.

In what happened here.

Yet and I think did to your point.

-- Michael about Hamas claiming victory just crossing the wires and this comes to us from Reuters they're saying the Hamas leader says.

The cease fire deal includes opening of all of Gaza crossings.

Including with Egypt one of the key sticking points what do you make of that stick.

Well I think that you know Israel is looking for a longer term solution to the Gaza problem here.

And they want Egypt more involved I I think for Israel a key sort of victory here is that they've -- not just their own relationship with -- Egypt.

But maybe they've -- needed to take a little bit of ownership of -- -- issue and I think that's how you should view that day issue of the border crossings but.

I think if this thing survives past 48 hours Trace.

There's still a key question as to can Egypt actually effectively.

Patrol the -- control the flow of weapons from the Sudan which is you know allied with Iran.

To the terrorists in the Sinai in the Gaza Strip and that really remains to be seen.

Yeah and that's what we're talking about here -- you got those fog -- five missiles coming at a rockets coming in from Iran coming through rule.

Those border crossings and that really is a very key concern for Israel -- just got to open up the floodgates again would seem a little counter intuitive to many Michael.

Well you don't -- -- that may be right but actually it may help in the sense that right now those rockets pass through some illegal smuggling tunnels.

Which it turns out even under Mubarak were very hard to police.

In a sense opening up the legitimate border crossings may give you more visibility into what's passing over.

And -- -- police what so what flows from the Sinai into the Gaza Strip.

Still -- Trace it will be very hard to do because the Sinai right now is like a wild west and remember law and order and Egypt is not what it once was.

And I think you -- -- very good point 48 hours seems to be kind of that.

That goal of making sure this thing sticks -- it's gonna stick it it should likely stick by then -- saying good you sir happy Thanksgiving thank you.

Like -- -- thanks.

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