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And welcome to FOX News Sunday panel plus the Bill Kristol Mara Liasson Ed Rollins then Evan Bob we finished.
Our second segment on kind of a downer for mr.
-- -- What's being the world's going to -- a hand basket but you know I mean you look at the situation in Egypt do you look at that growing tensions between Israel.
-- and the Palestinians I know who senator -- you wanna talk about Jordan you've also got North Korea announcing that it's gonna have another.
Long range missile launch.
A lot of challenges for this president bill as we begin his second term.
An Iranian nuclear program isn't slowing down and I think -- announce in the next two weeks.
Pretty quick drawdown in Afghanistan which that whatever the merits of that I think.
Could be interpreted around the world -- -- retreat by the US we have nothing left in Iraq and its front page story today isn't there in the times that.
We're disappointed that Iraq's not doing more to prevent Iran from we supplying Syria.
Now I think it's really worrisome and I you know this is not a matter partisanship I -- I think.
Because among its mistakes the first four years the let us to this place.
But every American has to hope that he has a good team with him.
They can deal with these.
Challenges and I think the first thing is to recognize that the light footprint strategy that he's so fond of where we step back and don't be too.
Four leading is not working out.
Look let me ask you about Iran because.
You know there's a lot of talk now the -- sort of -- -- is the first half.
Up next year everybody seems to agree by that point they would have not the weapon -- the capability to very quickly develop the weapon.
Netanyahu is running for re election as prime minister in January assuming.
Obama's now president for four more years Netanyahu gets end.
What do you see happening in the next 68 months of 23 thing.
I think what President Obama makes one last effort -- a grand bargain I think probably you know they'll they'll say -- we have negotiations maybe there will be negotiations for some specified.
Period of time I don't think it allows self -- not to be dragged out -- -- negotiations Jennifer ever.
And then I think there's an -- comes to Obama and says look we've -- -- you said and for the UN and I've said many times you can't allow Iran in nuclear weapon I said before the UN that there's a moment of where it becomes too dangerous and they come to close.
Will you act I don't know what president Obama's hasn't left -- to prime ministers and Yahoo! but I think if he says no I think.
-- -- -- -- I'd be pretty surprised to make it through.
-- -- September for thirteen without someone acting.
To stop and Iran in nuclear weapon or conceivably -- military struck out conceivably an agreement by Iran to stop it but I think the president would have to make.
His own -- our threat much more credible to get that agreement tomorrow you -- how to run -- we got put a whole set of traditions all the time.
Even even if he did make a credible threat.
It might not be enough I mean some of this is not a simple as saying the light footprint is is the whole problem.
Mean these are huge overwhelming -- you know to close what the like -- like -- have -- -- we don't have as many troops in Afghanistan we start withdrawing from these conflicts.
You know we don't have -- heavier footprint of American military might around the world now.
You know does that mean that if we had a heavier footprint Iran would be coming to the table and giving up its nuclear problem probably not.
And on them then the big question becomes what is the blowback from.
I want to questions what's the blowback but how much how much good is it gonna do how many years -- -- really gonna set back the Iran in nuclear program it's certainly not eliminated there's a bit a lot of questions about how how.
How effective a military district could be.
And as as the president faces all these challenges and what should talk about them he's got to appoint a new secretary of state and his secretary of defense and his CIA director conceivably if he moves one of his national security advisor Tom -- under one of those -- and a national security advisor.
I mean he's got a lot of problems and he's gonna have a brand new team.
I would argue that this term could be twice as good as the first term I think not -- that the economic crisis we talked about early years is still all there.
And so I think it over for a period of time.
I think it to the two places we didn't talk about -- -- Afghanistan.
And Iraq we have spent.
Decade and a lot of manpower -- resources.
And I think both of those could come apart thanks for years easily tickling the Afghan situation.
I think in the end of the day you can spend his whole term basically dealing with foreign policy so that team had better be good team.
And I and my sense is that is typically wants an obvious he needs -- people is comfortable with and I think that's probably.
He's Canadian he can do it well he can really Internet.
That Nobel Peace Prize that that somewhere in the Oval Office but I I would just think the challenge ahead of him is very very significant but we -- -- -- incidentally there was talking here about a rock and and and checking the armed.
Iran is air lifting the arms to the Asad regime in Syria over Iraq -- Airspace and the US is objected to -- said hey you got a check those planes.
So what -- -- solution.
Al-Maliki the prime minister has been he lets the planes fly over.
Drop off the arms and then on the way back they have to stop in Iraq and guess what complaints -- update so no problem.
You don't think the weapons were dump that dumped over the desert somewhere president and -- -- -- -- a skeptic.
But what this is going to be a turbulent time period the first -- -- gonna have to be dealt with this bill was mentioning his Iranian nuclear program at some point in the next six to twelve months we will probably -- the approach the point of no return.
And have to decide can they be deterred or must we do something about this the Israelis won't be one to run that risk and I'm my guess is -- -- to -- and say look.
We would much prefer by the way are Sunni allies would much prefer if the United States tastefully.
Because then it's a west -- -- power.
Confrontation which plays differently in the Sunni street that if you have Israel taking the lead in -- it becomes Jewish -- Islam and that may not play quite as well on the -- street so.
The president will have a decision to make about all that second thing is the ongoing.
From world caused by the Arab Spring this is -- this for a long time because their economies are no good they have a lot of young people coming along are going to be arrest of and so these regimes will be looking to re direct.
There -- dissatisfaction outward that's going to be an anti western rhetoric that's -- -- anti Israel rhetoric and conceivably some action.
That's why it's a difficult time for the State of Israel.
Final thing with regard to the light footprint and so forth.
The -- respect only one thing and that's strikes.
Immediately following our invasion of Iraq they were worried for about from four to six months this at all of the Americans are going to Afghanistan and going into Iraq may -- -- next.
And there were actually some back channel communications about maybe we can work together on some things.
They pretty quickly figured out though Chris.
That this was an example a strategic overreach.
And -- in fact like the fact that we were in Iraq and Afghanistan because they can -- is there both literally and financially.
And -- what we were expanding our resource is in directly.
-- what they really fear is direct action against them.
So you can look at both are lighter footprint in Afghanistan and Iraq as a conserving -- our resources.
For the principal challenge which is Iran itself not these peripheral issues they believe that.
Now I do -- that we're pulling back in those parts of the world because we're ready did take on Iran.
Well it an issue composing more credible threat of taking them -- I also was something else when you look at both Afghanistan and Iraq the difficult reality is.
Try as we might as brave as we've done as much of -- expended we can't do this for them.
They ultimately have to decide to resolve their own internal conflicts and they had just been unwilling to do that.
That's why they're both very difficult situations and that's why -- -- mentions.
Neither place may turn out well but it won't be our fault that will be their inability to get their act together he's in spite of all our help -- also one quick.
Company diminish military and one of iguana dramatic cuts that take place no matter who wins this battle on the budget is going to be the Defense Department.
And what you gonna dislocated a lot of troops.
And basically cut back on a lot of the basically ability instead of -- military in the world.
To do the kinds of things we've done in the past -- mean.
Thank you panel I think.
Second let us throughout the week let us know what you think about the challenges.
That the Obama administration is facing around the world and what you think they're gonna do or not do about it.
But for -- Monday edition of Wallace unplugged you can find it here at FOX News Sunday dot com.
We'll see you back here next.
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