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Will the Syrian government actually use chemical weapons?

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    Dr. Josef Olmert on why he believes the likelihood of the Assad regime using chemical weapons is low.

  • Duration 7:51
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-- doctor Joseph moment now friend of the show he is -- -- professor of the university.

Of South Carolina good to see a doctor -- that.

You have been.

That communicating with me on an almost daily basis and I thank you for that.

And you wouldn't from the very beginning of these warnings.

-- to be.

I managed by US officials -- the chemical weapons you'll always believed that there was a very very low child's of those chemical weapons being used why.

That I at least my neck so to speak and I predicted the company that I can -- we can go to these other you know.

Michelle but you've -- for the regime if not manufactured drama to -- -- And that reason for that is that is simply the guy did not steal billions from the -- -- -- in order to commit suicide collectively with chemical weapons you know he wanted to.

Make a point if indeed he did you think about chemical ever thought about trying to showings have -- as being -- -- about Damian have vetted -- -- -- That would fill almost QB -- to try to -- that he could speed and be.

Call that in some kind of the compromise about the situation may be even allowing him out of city and you dignified lay out any of these but I didn't believe you know that nobody -- now.

It was a nonfiction drama and the last they gave -- I think those two days ago wasn't there a unique tail -- fight fight for the day.

Database to put them almost put -- -- -- -- -- weapon that is how to order had been -- says that they have never believed in -- I believe him now.

Not very interesting doctor the 11 question a lot of our view is often Oscar regarding Syria and its chemical weapons is.

Where did they come from in the implication I get from some of our view is is that their thinking.

Wait a minute.

Weather roll along at chemical weapons in Iraq -- these.

Essentially Saddam Hussein's chemical weapons that was spirited across the border back in 2003 any any possible reality to that.

Idea.

-- delegates that is very positive that -- -- to -- that they DIE that and you can't and bad toward the end of 2000 going to beginning -- 2003.

I head of the American invasion -- -- -- Andy seasonal -- always sort of chemical attended the serious accumulate that they did have received from other sources well but yes.

WMD's what house reform Iraq affinia video and that took me by the way investigated and explored very very seriously.

The moment this regime is finally collapsing which is -- it is going to collapse in the near future.

So what where do we go.

Next -- terror I mean.

That there is clearly a lot of pressure you say that the regime is going to collapse.

This does does do it does a sad get out of Syria or do you think he lives and dies at the hands of the rebels -- well.

I must tell you that the flow of bad.

-- -- predictions if I may say that they admitted votes you know they -- they've been improved but I -- the dollar and I should say he's.

I believe that he would have been -- Instead it's kind of vowed to -- he's giving them -- if and that chose to -- that you -- really believe -- that the -- put it out -- -- That he doesn't want to leave the Moscow because of the -- -- leave them out with everything is collapsing and -- -- confined to got a white that he -- healed as he's going to -- excited.

May -- still wants to stave them off with you noticed too.

May consider fair read about it because there will be some kind of last minute Dan negotiations -- in order to prevent global deafening the -- -- which would be.

An unprecedented.

Unprecedented -- BP -- for the third time I've president of bloodbath that we have -- -- weakness in the Middle East and.

You don't you talk about him -- getting to the need to the stronghold of the Al white community in the man -- that.

But wouldn't even be safe and that surely if the rebels take Damascus.

They are gonna -- -- him as far as they can within Syria's borders and and the one of a better would just kill him.

Well coming in the end of the day this will be able to duplicate mandates may have been any minute now you know -- not mean that might be a kind of been an open book and the -- given a nod goes on around me.

And by the way it could also be done by some of -- -- because they need to acknowledge this is something that people don't know about not a life.

That's not thought that he liked it because that out of bed AM many pleas for big.

-- -- for the nation's -- and he's just amend that a lot of then it got all kinds of products that begun they can't get into right now.

But I would love to do that if he Wii's growth if he BD happens if you get into and out of like my head -- -- and it then could be safe put -- -- because what is happening city and this is what he's going to let and that will be.

It breakup of the city on that -- -- -- bit -- -- output almost totally content don't say if you win that the rolls down like the cats in the northeast.

How to point the mosque -- wouldn't be in -- chaotic situation because vendetta between being felt sort of controlled.

So it may give -- -- it's not a gossip necessarily Madonna like slate did on eleven making some kind of putting because talks about the solution in the future.

But doubt like mount this could be safely at least them put out elite is the Fed that the -- -- Didier it indicates to me that they do believe so at all.

That they could put it out somehow -- debacles.

And you want to bet giving them my school from I always say 118 you know that to a -- some kind of -- -- mission Eileen convention that would edging Steven around.

It's part of the -- negotiations but they'll all of these remains to be seen he's -- want to get animated ducked a question of time but isn't it -- isn't.

Morally.

Possible.

To allow -- sad to have any leverage at this stage more than 40000.

Of his own people killed in this civil war -- -- -- the international community in any way morally allow him to stay there and be part of the solution.

Let you lost a great question -- got -- -- you know it requires me to be someone's -- got some -- like to do because they've they've.

-- consideration was.

And I -- consideration until now why did they allow him to -- 40000 of his own people when Gadhafi was engaging Keating got the Philippines because there was an intervention in -- argue you know white glove because of the fallen in all of these.

It's not morality theme on -- -- -- -- shouldn't be I -- between not to be personally.

But it's still being because -- -- will be their last resort in order to stop the -- of -- of thousands you know what can you -- But look.

This is -- don't go to gene and I -- -- talked about it late day he ducked the question of time data in England now and even if you read today that he -- by Jeremy Bowen from the BBC -- -- -- the -- That may indicated in the very center of the Moscow bid -- was giving -- about a couple of miles away that are taking a look inside the -- -- -- so what says he's being -- do everything and I mean now behave based on that one run Ronnie article is what he indicated that Jennifer Griffin would readily agreed to put him.

What's taken over by -- -- -- It just a question of dying days weeks feel -- this -- -- -- -- that and then that might be a big big big unprecedented bloodbath if I.

Coach can make out the exact and that's -- that was going to be my next question don't Thelma what happens the day after a sad as one of our one -- -- read his rights in here can you read god says other rebel I don't know about who really knows.

A lot of -- blood that would be a lot of blood and by the way even if -- an OK -- it is reportedly generally buoyant -- -- what is going to happen because because unions that book.

That you know I don't like made little saying -- Moscow that stood out like they have got all -- guns.

Why would they -- got to cook up a penny for the day after it and look what happened god -- to declarations that brought to mind the mosque was because they would not part of that -- -- and and that I can't seem to see the that I don't think the safety Jonathan -- for -- going to be very bad.

All right doctor Joseph -- that I didn't prevent -- At the University of South Carolina.

Great to see you as always doctor thank you very much indeed for an earlier and not just -- how we'll see you again very soon I'm sure as we continue to follow this story.