Democrats hoping to avoid defeat in 2014 midterms
What are the party's chances in race?
- Duration 4:20
- Date Mar 21, 2013
What are the party's chances in race?
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It is pretty typical of the sitting president's party loses congressional seats in the mid term election.
2010 was a serious something for Democrats after Barack Obama was elected in 2008.
In the senate Republicans saw a net gain of six seats and on the house side a net gain of 63 seats.
But the president is opening hoping for a different outcome next time around keeping the senate and retaking the house.
Elections guru Larry SATA riding in the Wall Street Journal says.
Obama and many Democrats are so buoyed by national polls and the buzz from the November election that they sense a chance to make history.
As of now Democrats would have to pick up seventeen seats in the house to take control there.
Right now in the senate the Democrats hold a ten seat majority that counts the two independents who caucus with them but -- warns quote.
He -- oral history and the nature of the 2014 races indicate the Democrats actually stand a greater chance of losing the senate.
Than they do of winning the house.
Let's talk about what AB Stoddard associate editor and columnist at the hill.
That that may be on that's a professor seven -- assessment but Barack Obama has done some things.
In terms of you know social media outreach and so forth that other candidates other presidents haven't been able to do what do you think -- That is true and that's why we should start with why Democrats think they have hope should she reverse history and whose time has never been Don.
To take the party back for the president's party in his six year an office.
That's because in this last election obviously the groups that support -- -- Arab in the Obama coalition.
Those demographic groups are on the rise they engage at record levels.
And the incorrect estimation about white vote turnout.
How led the Republicans too that not only lose but be surprised by by their losses.
Take a look at it that way mid term elections traditionally are older and whiter and the and that kind of voters that have carried.
A -- and a victory twice through his very very shrewd and in an -- -- techniques.
Do not engage in mid term elections are not to mention congressman -- grass -- reelection or the challenge he's.
I'm running in district five to a Republican congressman we're also looking at the diminished opportunity for Democrats you talked about the seventeen seats.
The savage show mentions.
These swing seats are disappearing they're worse 174.
-- -- of them in 1998 only 99 of them and 2012 is just not a lot of opportunity to take back -- district.
That Mitt Romney won in no other experts so far who knows the map.
His disagreeing with what what Larry savage I was saying about how hard it would be for Democrats to take house them.
There isn't a president in my memory who has spent more time more energy sort of demonizing.
One political party.
Using the bully -- but I mean President Obama.
Talks about Republicans.
In the house -- John Boehner -- party or that kind of thing.
More than any other president that I can remember is this why because he's he's looking toward those 2014 mid term elections.
It got President Obama you can see coming out of his reelection which was a strong victory continued to campaign.
For the fiscal cliff in November -- December and then against the sequester early part of this year.
He he likes a foil the problem for President Obama is if he can't accomplish this as I've said would be an unprecedented feat.
That he's stuck with probably had diminished senate majority of Democrats maybe -- even lose -- Republicans.
And a Republican House and then what is he gonna do does he have a legacy and and I would argue that the only -- to -- legacy.
Is through the fiscal hole now and that would open up his ability.
To that you actually maybe win -- -- for Democrats who helped with a compromised and move on to clean fights on energy and education immigration other things.
I think without that if he's seen is always campaigning against Republicans and nothing changes because the numbers don't look like they will.
He's a lame duck got from now on because he's not using this here to let's say is using its campaign.
Obviously much depends on what kinds of candidates get nominated for all of these races but Republicans.
Have hope AB Stoddard thank you.