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Joseph Gordon of course is the author of nuclear showdown North Korea takes on the world a guy happy to have you head Gordon.
The first of all the breaking news we got over night.
From North Korea is that they've closed down to South Koreans this sort of joint factory facility that is -- just on the North Korean side of the border.
It's one of the very very few.
Areas of cooperation between north and south so how significant is it that they closed down this case -- facility.
This is important because it is the last area of cooperation between the north and the south.
And what the north Koreans have done is prevent South Koreans from going into the zone which is six miles north of the demilitarized zone which separates north and South Korea.
The next step of course is for them to prevent South Koreans in the zone from going back to South Korea and then it becomes a hostage crisis in all of this is really on the way to April 15.
Which is -- 101 anniversary of the birth.
Founder Kim Il -- we're gonna see a lot of provocations up until then and after that.
God knows what happens is that.
Really significant and Andy did is that eighty Kim Jong -- mind this anniversary as we approach all of this that we had the bill most dangerous time in a sense because of that.
Well I don't know that's the most dangerous but we're going to see a lot of provocations up until then because he needs to consolidate his position in the regime.
At no time since 1949 has a North Korean leader had a smaller base of support -- Pyongyang's.
And Kim Jong-un is in trouble with the generals because he tried to -- many of them last year.
I think the most dangerous time will be sometime during our summer.
When our military exercises with South Korea -- at the end of this month went our state of readiness falls back to normal when we're not looking that's when North Korea normally strikes.
Are -- going to I guess that's the question that it really gets to the hot of this.
Are they going to take action or is this all bluster the kind of -- we seemed to fall where they try to -- Am paid off and I'm fed up and -- it up and insects are okay will back down if you give -- -- food aid or that would be any kind of economic -- you know I'm sure that that's what -- -- -- but Kim -- 129 year old.
I don't know if he knows where the line -- And you know his father and grandfather used to do this that was their playbook they were very successful -- they could kill Americans and South Koreans and basically get away with it.
But the situation is very different today because of the problems in the regime in Pyongyang's.
You know people in South Korea are really tired of taking blow after blow from North Korea and not retaliating.
And in China which would normally restrain the north Koreans.
You've got a turmoil in their leadership transition Chinese military becoming much more powerful.
The military in China has traditionally backed North Korea so China is not going to help.
And you know the United States is looking at this -- trying to -- rapid but we can't do this by ourselves you.
And have been -- Read some awe of the the white has his actions into ordering the two naval destroyers.
Into the region -- only saying the western Pacific we know very well that that position there is a missile defense.
-- right now sending that sending the B two bombers on that trading -- they draw to dummy bombs off in the waters off of North Korea.
Of those actions designed to maybe.
Keep South Korea -- and say you don't need to retaliate because all or take any action because we're right here.
Yeah I agree with that because the South Korean public is losing confidence in the United States to defend them.
And we had that stunning poll in February were 66% of the South Korean public want nukes of their own.
That's a big vote of no confidence of the US -- of the B twos the B fifty -- the F twenty twos were all there really basically to reassure the South Koreans more than -- intimidate the north Koreans.
But you know these two destroyers off the North Korean coast plus the sea based radar platform that will eventually get there that's different.
I think we're concerned about North Korea's missiles people expect the launch of some sort.
Let's take a look.
Good North Korea's missiles -- and the range of those missiles.
He first of all we have that the note on which is about a thousand kilometers that's roughly what 60650.
That time Taepodong longer 2200 kilometers.
The -- -- down for fans and -- is these are all approximate distances.
And then we get within the range of Alaska and Hawaii with the Taepodong two an -- 6000 kilometers four fans and issue miles -- you say you were telling -- me -- there's another one we had a list of dead it is a new missile and the one that most concerns US officials what does it.
That's the KN oh wait we saw this for the first time publicly last April 15 in the big military parade impugn young Jim -- hundredth birthday by the way.
This is a mobile missile and then you know the Obama administration reversed its position on missile defense last month.
They're not worried about the Taepodong the longest range -- because we can destroy that on the -- We're concerned about the mobile missiles because we cannot reliably find them and China has sold the north Koreans the mobile missile launchers because.
In April 15.
We saw the Chinese mobile missile launches we'll go right through the center of -- out.
Who so it visas so that the point is that you if you get a fire that Taepodong two which we know.
Could theoretically at least reach Hawaii.
Reach Alaska you have to put it on a great big missile launch platform takes days if not weeks to -- it.
But the these other ones they can just drive around the country all on all of the mobile.
Trust us and those are enormous trucks patent axle vehicles.
These substantially increased North Korea's ability to wage nuclear war in the United States needs to have some pretty difficult conversations with China because clearly the Chinese are taking on the north Koreans giving them the means to really create a very big -- --
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