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-- now we are keeping a focus on what's happening in Korea yet again today.
This following confirmation from a US official that North Korea.
-- is moving its mid range missile launchers.
To the eastern coast of that country the military might be ready for a tester were drilled just the latest provocative move by the north.
Driving up tensions now -- scene -- Co-founder of the foreign policy initiative former adjunct senior fellow.
On the council foreign relations nice to see you -- to -- you know America's Newsroom couple points here you're big concern is not necessarily United States target.
But rather Japan or South -- that would make sense to based on geography right -- you back that up -- -- doesn't seem right now based on what we know that North Korea has the capability to reach at least nuclear capability to reach.
United States not even reached out Guam which is you know 2200 miles.
From from North Korea but the regional.
Japan South Korea are real and that's what we should be worried about but in the past they have test fired missiles that have gone over the country of Japan.
But -- you have all these American and South Korean warships that have been moved into the area.
And it's quite likely now if you fire a missile we could take action.
-- -- -- -- and I actually think what the administration has done in recent days has been effective it's important actually showing.
The the the weight in the muscle of US capabilities in the region these B twos and B fifty -- the F sixteen strong statement said of the US military leadership.
In the region.
Have I think collectively send a message that I hope will keep.
The North Korean leadership in a box here but still it is hard and I think you make this point rather well it is hard to figure out.
With this North Korean leader wants to do how do you decipher that that is what makes North Korea.
Perhaps one of the most perplexing geopolitical challenges for the United States in these need most or one of the most opaque societies.
On the planet our intelligence capabilities in the region and in the country are extremely limited.
So we don't know what's going on and we don't know what.
Hit the president's intentions are busy trying to flexed political muscle for domestic purposes because he just came to power he is he trying to gain leverage in the region.
Vis -- -- South Korea on the peninsula.
Or is he trying to exert some sort of pressure internationally with the hope of skating these sanctions that came from the the latest threat -- -- -- sanctions scaled back.
We don't know what is and game is which makes it a trickier situation in terms of how to respond where you lay that out I -- multiple choice in your guessing here at the moment.
If North Korea wanted to cause problems.
Whether they use convention unconventional means or conventional means -- the fifth largest North -- the fifth largest army.
In the world something like get one million man strong army about eight million people -- reserves make no mistake about it.
-- North Korea wants to wreak Havoc in the region they came even if they don't have.
The nuclear long range capability to do it now they can use conventional means to do this there are two reports across our -- just in the past two hours South Korea deploying two warships.
With missile defense systems apparently went on the East Coast someone on the West Coast.
Of the peninsula there -- various reports and apparently western governments.
Perhaps the United States perhaps Great Britain.
That our staff in North Korea have been asked whether or not they're willing to evacuate.
If necessary how do you put these two I smoke I think that there -- people are -- the tensions are high.
Governments western governments governments in the region embassy staffs in the region -- -- on extremely high alert and I think that this the the elements you reporting.
Whether they've all been confirmed or not.
Are reflective of this chatter that's going on right now.
Which is I think appropriate people are concerned that this thing could spiral out of control so they've cut off communications with South Korea.
I don't know what kind of communications we have if and he.
Perhaps they have a back flying to Moscow with scenes that that's a possibility here or Beijing.
But on April 15 ten days from now that's the anniversary of the birth of the country's founder Kim Il -- This all ramping up toward that Monday.
Look first of -- I think that the there's still some communication on the civilian side civilian aviation between South Korea North Korea but it is true that a lot of these these military hotline capabilities communications have been shut down.
I don't know what again comes back to we don't know what the intentions are he couldn't be some sort of buildup towards this anniversary.
But again you've got to ask this question what are his intentions and Atlanta earlier that you can come -- -- three -- four scenarios that he's trying to do that we're kind of war game out trying to understand what he wants.
It could be a subset of that it doesn't have to be one it could be multiple objectives as he's trying to advance -- -- guessing and guessing can lead to drama dancing or thank you for your time -- do it to bill Aaron.
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