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Let's sell the gun control in the big speech from President Obama yes today up in -- Connecticut whether new town now massacre happened obviously.
And he listed a whole series of proposals.
But we appear to be practically speaking.
Left with one and that's background checks where -- -- -- it doesn't have any jobs any legislation -- -- John has got a shot at passing but Republicans.
Need to get on board -- -- that simply is not going to be the votes a number of Republicans on the right.
Vowing to filibuster.
Gun control this week so.
Charles Schumer Harry Reid they're trying to get Republicans on board especially Republicans who have an a rating from the the National Rifle Association.
They have not succeeded yet so the devil's in the details Schumer was working with Tom Coburn a Republican from Oklahoma.
They cannot get an agreement now we're hearing that senator Pat Toomey a Republican from Pennsylvania who's up for reelection in 2016.
Could be the GOP partner but I must say get a deal will soon Jonathan they're not gonna get background checks through the senate and it's certainly not gonna get it through the house that they can't get it through the senate.
-- shorter evolved that way we've gone through the new -- mascara.
The indeed the national outrage over that incident the they're great -- -- it seemed of support for some sort of gun control and that we could literally -- end up with nothing.
You know I think they'll be some type of bill mom but.
It's the gun control activists are gonna have to make the decision is this a strong -- bill are we gonna back this -- there.
All -- getting restless they have been relatively quiet working with the White House but now that background checks is on the ropes.
Maybe they will say that bill that would increase training at schools that doesn't include background checks it has.
Basically some minor provisions that is not good enough for it and so that's going to be the -- All right so immigration.
That seems -- an area where we may have some sort of agreement we -- get.
Some real legislation.
When he is it likely to happen if if it -- if indeed it does happen and what sort of form is it really that's the best chance of -- I think the senate is going to be leading on this the bill was supposed to be released by now by the end of march initially they were saying this gang of eight.
Now they're saying it could be this week but it I'm not my -- next week so until there's bill language nothing obviously can move.
That once there is bill language they're going to be groups.
On the right may be on the left to that will attack it -- from the left some some immigration activists think that.
That senator Schumer and others are focusing too much on border control as a -- -- a pathway to citizenship and we know on the right pathway to citizenship.
Very controversial so.
I think that we're gonna get something this month we are probably gonna get a bill from the gang of eight but.
If one of these eight senators drops off specifically Marco Rubio.
Then the whole thing is in trouble now there is if if the senate fails it could actually move in the house because there's a bipartisan group.
In the house the houses never.
Really bipartisan kind of chamber but there isn't a group over -- working on their own proposals so I think immigration reform as a as a better shot of at least.
-- significant gun control bill getting to the president's desk -- Here what would senator rubio is motivation and reasoning being -- possibly dropping off of that of the gang of eight legislation.
Well he Amy he's certainly you know a lot of people think he's definitely the front runner and I do too for the 2016 nomination long way to go but between now and -- But he's got a -- this delicate line he's been move in the party.
Closer and closer to pathway to citizenship we've seen on on the house -- speaker Boehner.
Also trying to to move the Republican Party to embrace some type of immigration reform.
But if if rubio thinks that the bill focuses too much on getting green cards -- not enough on.
Border security well then that's not gonna play certainly in some of those early states like Iowa and -- perhaps South Carolina in 2016 so.
He's got to be thinking now every decision he makes now could reverberate in 2016.
And it's our and then we get to budgets debt ceiling -- All of these things.
Where where -- -- that right now ball.
You know Donovan usually with with when its budget season you know everyone's kind of eyes glaze over but this is actually -- clearly going to be a very different budget from President Obama he's going to put it.
Entitlement cuts into his budget as a sign of good faith to Republicans but he also says.
Listen they're going to be tax revenue raisers in there so they get what they want entitlement cuts.
Republicans are gonna have to go along with his plan on taxes and it remains to be seen but this budget is going to be very different because it's gonna be attacked from both.
And the right and I think that the liberal reaction to cutting social security and this is a cut -- -- change CPI the formula for for paying out Social Security.
This will be a cut -- to benefits and that's what Republicans want in ordered that.
They say -- to save the program.
I don't think is gonna go as far as on Medicare.
But Obama is is doing this as an effort to the possibly set the ground work.
For some type of grand bargain so that we don't have that the debt ceiling showdown that we had that was extremely ugly.
In the summer of 2011 and and we'll see the yes tomorrow the -- does come out we've seen.
They leaked there was very interesting that.
The White House leaked out details of the budget last week when congress was not in session sell.
So liberals didn't have the microphone when they're walking around the halls of congress do to attack the president.
And but certainly you know some some liberals like Bernie Sanders from Vermont been very vocal in saying social security and Medicare should not be cut at all.
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