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34 minutes past the hour now what sort of influence is the president have a bit more than a hundred days into -- second term.
That was a key question from this week.
Do you still have to choose to get the rest of your agenda -- You put that which.
Maybe as it goes back up and go home.
-- go away.
It was a moment -- they were about even today Kerr rose -- down there and Austin, Texas.
Former senior advisor -- in chief of staff to president George W.
Bush and Fox News contributor.
Carl welcome back in a couple of weeks to welcome back -- -- thanks for instance and how do you react at least bomb and a question and answer happen every John -- -- -- BC -- well.
I'm pretty tough question and in that question gets asked only if you're not making progress and every president in -- second term faces challenge of becoming a lame duck.
Generally later residents sooner but the president's made two big mistakes in my opinion.
That have made it appear that he is it has less influence less power.
And and the first mistake was picking the wrong issues what are we spent the last four months talking about we -- talking about guns.
In the -- how you know everything's gonna collapse tomorrow we don't -- to -- about how we need more taxes and spending in -- budget.
And on all of these issues the president has come up short the the robust -- package that he proposed.
Never even came up for a vote.
-- the -- turned out his sequester strategy turned out to be a bust his budget was dead on arrival even among Democrats who.
Aren't even willing to offered up for a vote -- -- rally to his -- -- -- president begins to look weak.
When he he picks the wrong issues and and comes up short.
And and of one of the American people concerned about they're concerned about the economy and jobs and deficit and spending in the fiscal strength of the country and whether or not they're going to be able to have a secure retirement the president talking about any of those issues it.
No point did not so subtly they came up via -- and that press conference listen -- Dana Milbank Washington Post wrote rode out.
Someone of a scathing article came about how he analyzed.
The reaction the back and forth this press covers Wall Street Journal today again manager writes this what the Roosevelt Nixon and Bill Clinton.
Or George W.
Bush every second term president must and time come to grips with the reality that it can't be just about his agenda or just him.
Is he doing my day or be.
And that him.
Well it's all about him it's his agenda not the country's agenda.
And that he's got an odd tone to it I mean the president has been hyper partisan everything is somebody else's responsibility.
He's been disengaged with -- but very active in campaigning.
And the tone has been negative I mean -- resident bring us together trying to find common ground he spent most of his time -- people for.
-- for failing to support his agenda and you know that's not how -- every president in a second term begins to lose power you do become a lame -- the moment you win your second term.
But this president is accelerating that process.
By both his tone and by the issues we face and it's still -- -- -- president now you're right it's still you find -- to that point about not counting about his approval -- still at 52%.
I mean that that well a clear majority of people who.
Approve of the job he is doing reflect on that yet well it depends on what poll you look at -- -- -- let's put this in context.
He has the he -- composite lower his composite approval ratings are lower than any modern second term president at this point in there.
In their in there -- second term.
You know President Bush who is in the midst of a very unpopular war and -- Iraq and Afghanistan.
Was and it was even higher than President Obama is at this point now pres Obama does have a way to get back in he is the president after all.
He can change and be focused on the issues -- people care about any to begin to make progress on those issues or.
He could be helped by events there's a likelihood there could be a Supreme Court vacancy this summer and the president begins to look stronger and bigger during those.
Kind of that that was hit opportunity right about that I have just have about thirty seconds left here's a flip this around now because your.
You're -- on mid terms in about a year and a half right now -- -- -- fourteen.
What do Republicans do.
At the moment to capitalize on some of these some of the senate Tom.
Vacancies and maybe some of the house vacancies.
Because it was said many times back in November the president right now is gearing up for mid terms week in the house when we give you two years to run the White House -- with that.
Right I wrote about the house a couple weeks ago the Wall Street Journal wrote about the senate today.
I think he's got little to no chance of taking in the house and the Republicans have you -- -- an outside shot not a great job and an outside shot.
Of taking the senate and certainly an excellent shot if they get good candidates and run good campaigns.
Of making significant gains in the senate there are 21 Democrats up.
Six of them in states that that a Romney won by ten points or better only one Republican up in a state that Obama won by ten points or better.
Republicans are likely to make gains if they get to 48 or 49 which is achievable.
Really achievable big changes will be in the senate that changes on the committees will change -- -- there's like -- one point Democrat more of majority and most of the committees.
But the Republicans do have a shot of movement from 45 to 51.
-- -- going to be awfully difficult for them to do so there's going to be recruiting good candidates running good campaigns and raising money because -- president's gonna raise a boatload of money for that I have been that is true in the machine is still there Carl thank you the funny time to talk about this as we move forward but thank you for your time.
Out of Austin, Texas thanks bill.
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