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Transition to a new government Theodore -- as -- senior analyst at the advisory and intelligence firm ergo he lived in Egypt for more than two years he's been following.
The situation they're very close and good to see you thanks for being here what's your initial take.
My initial take is that the military is clearly trying to do things differently this time around.
Both in 2011 and this year it's clear that it was popular protests that led to a military removal of a president.
Two years ago the military -- held on to power through an interim period.
And it was a period full of turmoil.
If there's a lot of violence clearly they're trying to do things differently this time -- -- -- directly to civilian government.
To an interim president.
I think everyone believes that the military still holding all the strings.
But they made the announcement of the -- surrounded by civilian leaders.
And they're cracking down on Muslim Brotherhood leaders as you've mentioned in an effort to get a handle on the security situation which is going to be very tenuous in the coming days.
They're talking about a new constitution.
They're gonna hold elections as soon as possible those -- just said no date for that yet it sounds like they wanna start from scratch.
Yet I think they do but there's one group that's not gonna start from scratch and that's the Muslim Brotherhood.
It may be diminished at this point but the Muslim Brotherhood is still a tremendously popular organization in the country.
And and to -- -- here Tuesday during the presidential elections.
The -- got nearly 50%.
Of the vote in the first round when there were a lot of choices to choose from -- got about a quarter another.
Sort of less.
Less extreme Islamist got about 20%.
This is still a a movement that's popular in the country but remember the groups that took to the street this time around.
Were angry Morton but a lot of the -- remorse a year ago and weren't supporters of the Muslim Brotherhood.
Two years ago so.
What's gonna happen when their parliamentary election when their presidential elections and the Muslim Brotherhood participate I think there's something very telling.
That -- Washington Post reporter put on Twitter she spoke with -- sources in the Muslim Brotherhood.
And said what are you gonna do next and they laughed and -- we've been doing this for eighty years we're getting ready for the next elections.
The US obviously has -- hundred interests.
In Egypt and in the Middle East as a whole.
The best way that you see that the United States can assert itself during this transition yes.
One word and its military.
The United States has hitched its wagon to the Egyptian military.
And at this point it's best option and it's the best of bad options is really to stick with it.
And to encourage the military to hand over.
Power to two civilian rule to relinquish it because -- let's remember the liberals.
In that country who I think a lot of Americans are rooting for are more antagonistic to military even in the Muslim Brotherhood.
And so they they view the military as a threat to the revolution.
And so the only way for one good way to bring some measure of stability of the country is passed.
To get the military to persuade the military to relinquish power and that's -- the Obama administration is likely do it.
Theodore -- as a senior analyst at -- ago.
Spend a lot of time in the region living and working there Theo thanks very much happy fourth of July that you -- more on -- coming up later but I.
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