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I've shown I'm here with my.
Friends and colleagues Pat Caddell and Java -- -- we are political insiders.
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Today we're gonna do something a little bit different than we've done before.
We encourage your tweets -- emails -- communications.
We're gonna talk about the approval ratings have -- for the president.
Approval ratings that I should say are plummeting.
And I'm gonna talk about -- and most particularly pat and John are gonna talk about them in the context of the larger challenges we face.
What's going on.
Are in the world let me put up screen three.
Conference which is the approval numbers.
From I believe it's the Gallup poll which has the president 42.
And fifty disapprove.
Now pat will talk in -- second about what the implications are.
Of this it is -- in my judgment a steady decline -- has a slightly more apocalyptic.
View the president's drop.
That I do but that being said he will speak to that in the context of our eroding position.
We will talk about Egypt we'll talk about Syria we'll talk about the Middle East generally.
And we will talk about Edwards Snowden and we'll talk about -- United States.
That is on the verge.
Of losing whatever influence we have -- -- at the close of this first segment -- perhaps the beginning of his second we'll do a preview.
A highlight of what's coming in Turkey so pat how do you see it what's going on.
I think the president's numbers suddenly in Gallup took a seven point one day drop in maintained again on Sunday.
That's a huge drop a match is the fox -- I happen to think.
That he's been holding steady being down but slowly eroding.
But this was a big drop if it's so I was that a big -- because I think every time he goes out I think his press conference was a disaster.
I think we're -- -- though and I think you've -- -- -- the country not only do we have let me back not only -- up -- telling everyone obamacare is good.
When even to date the unions had a poll done by Peter -- what are saying how much people hated obamacare you monitor Mormon changes.
The things that the congress did where he goes down negotiate the deal.
So that these people you know of all the congressman's and their staffs don't have to pay they will be subsidize you won't I won't you won't put the government will be.
Because god forbid they live under the law but most importantly it's the claps and world war.
The disaster with the Russians and present -- -- cannot confront.
Putin cancels over this no matter.
And and -- -- -- we're really angry each of blowing up and you know it.
And he lives let's put this image this is -- -- I jumped -- and pat and particularly John I'd love you to comment.
We get image one this is the iconic picture what can you read that oh.
Pat and then turned over to John yes and Paterson the ambassador of the miss miss Muslim Brotherhood mess and he had leave Egypt now being go to hell.
Obama cross -- -- you can't pull your people and the world anymore you finance and backed terrorism.
We -- on the verge of blowing up our alliance beat you don't -- We know when we were young.
Egyptian military was trained by the Soviet military and they were in the orbit of the Soviet Union and in the seven -- understood that.
Nixon all the way up to your guy Carter we moved to Egypt pro United States we started training the Egyptian military over here which we still -- They are good the military is a good ally of the United States but if we persist in this and we get on the wrong side of them.
They're gonna lose whatever truck they have inside Egypt the thing will go to Helena ambassadors are going to -- and investment there.
It is going to Helen but our relationship with the Egyptian military is still a good we -- his.
Only mean what would you please explain to me concurrent public.
McCain Senator McCain and senator Graham we're doing running over the trip to -- the Egyptian government about half of the Muslim.
From -- and on behalf of the White House to the White House asked these two conservative supposedly conservative.
Republicans to go over there which I took as a slap the John Kerry actually.
That they would use them to go over there and call for the release of Muslim Brotherhood prisoners probably -- Muslim brother and I mean what's going on your.
And being -- excitement I wanna come back to something and I think a lot of viewers are concerned about you would spoken about.
The precipitous drop seven point drop in one way you it's a -- so will we will -- But I was don't know -- ask about Edwards snow.
Why do you think that the press conference that focused on reforms in the NSA process.
-- such very.
Poor response because I don't know I think typically younger people.
I think -- they don't believe the president they don't believe it's going to be younger and younger people particularly the whole reason for his effort at the NSA by the way -- for -- around.
Use because young people who are critical.
Part of his.
His base -- base he has.
They are really upset at the end of say the loss of privacy and what they believe in John Mike's point is -- 75% believe.
You're already doing this what's outrageous price cut conference I've fought a brief.
A lap dogs of the white house press corps is when they -- -- no matter know what asked him and he said all -- -- -- listener calls you know use the DEA him.
Resident DEA we've read now in the last few days is going to the NSA and trying to get these phone records for their own criminal investigation giving him some -- the last thing we have on our list is the president at the press conference.
On Friday in effect saying -- looks.
Do we put that up please ten -- -- We're gonna hear the president talk about these three here that yeah.
It's coming put it up -- -- careful while we're waiting.
-- -- -- -- Well be.
I also served as we get bin Laden and I get him in eleven months.
Well if you look at the reports even the disclosures of mr.
stone was put forward.
All the stories that have been written.
What you're not reading about is the government actually abusing.
And -- listening in on people's phone calls or inappropriately reading people's emails what.
Your curing about is.
-- these could be abused.
But you know you know very very well you.
I just think for three you know we find out these closing of Lebanon embassies based on what -- may nineteen he nineties she thinks all of us have won nineteen and the president.
Tell they've -- the administration itself -- still Qaeda how we got this information they saw it on picking up their conversation what they thought -- -- secure.
Encrypted -- meanwhile -- is being pursued.
On on this stuff -- probably just had nothing to do with 300 million Americans records being taken every day in building -- Six times this I don't know we're -- tell you what the presidents -- and I think he's behind the eight ball he's trying to catch up to where this story is up for the whole press conference was about because of Snowden.
His to his unhappiness with Putin and the whole thing but is that all because this thing is hurting the government there's no question and only one that vote in the house by seven votes two weeks ago and some to maintain the NSA is aware there's one person 61 -- of the house members -- -- war.
The administration voted to kill said they had problems after right and we're not certain what I don't think has happened here's James Sensenbrenner who.
Is a Republican from Wisconsin who wrote most of the Patriot Act in 20022.
And and section fifteen which covers the NSA he has come out now that all these revelations to come out he still in the house and he's come out and said.
The NSA is not conforming with what was written in section -- Tampa and and never intended -- they've gone too far I think -- a guy like and that guy is a tough guy sensenbrenner of these conservative I did I know on I'm not gonna say is a friend -- -- Because he's not a you know he -- a very efficient.
Tough guy and if he says this about the NSA I listened to it that he believes they're going farther than the law and.
And we saw when he -- what the problem from -- -- -- Houston we have -- I think up here a -- on the others in the pony skin I was says let's put.
Number two -- present in the United States get some call phony scandals now by the way.
No one in making him a lap but all let let -- really has no numbers through them -- I'll take you through.
Is it serious announcers spend -- he's 7870.
An -- 6926.
Department of Justice.
Oh lead in the -- leaks 5931.
That in surprisingly well.
Maybe I'm surprised you hire a solo but I think that's because that's -- the partisans put it.
And it showed through the failure of public narrative -- all these numbers including not only overwhelming and the belief that these are real on the Ming -- question there was a follow up question.
And fox poll that asked about whether or not it was cover up going on it was over sixty some percent of -- was.
It but the Republicans again failed to develop these issues and what I would like to say is the president's problems are he has.
Fantasy land and these kinds of statements but he's only been saying I can't abuses metaphor I think a good week or two weeks ago.
I said it's like a snowball.
It would be an avalanche beat the Republicans can -- -- instead they won't watch on it.
What what's your take -- up for a fight think to go back here opening of the show I think -- -- so dumb I didn't see it you take these four if you put up number two again.
And he is look at putting -- to us again he had the the situation a phony scandal it.
Those numbers are so bad they have to be contributing to the president's -- somewhat lower -- humidity third even on the bottom and he'd normally partisan RS 34% of Democrats.
And number invite 36% of liberals are sank.
He's a real scandal spread so they have to be hurting a plus they sideways economy.
Right plus and -- -- mean what is good and it's happen.
I think he should -- you have a lot of experience a dispute and thing I think.
There was to be speaking of -- you know here's here's what I would take him now sort of make this time when we're -- break them.
Come back and pat will talk Turkey.
Literally a medical.
And then we'll go on to.
Domestic politics but here's what I think is -- the administration.
Basically bet the ranch on a reset -- Russia they're gonna do things differently than the Bush Administration arms control.
Strategic missile defense negotiations.
And by canceling the summit and having.
The president makes them petulant personal comments about -- as the -- kid in the back of the classroom I think relations with Russia for the next.
Few years are gonna be ultimately.
Very very -- if not on the back burner think this is a real failure huge failure.
For the president and speak directly.
To the bankruptcy of his policy.
-- we need them okay we're not gonna get their help on Syria.
But on Iran there was still some chance of getting them to help us limit their nuclear program march to get that -- I'm.
Pace the president in this administration seriously -- fears them.
This leaving behind philosophy that they exercise and would -- and talk about more we see going on here resemble immigrant or -- in the sand.
Or if they use chemical weapons they doing -- me back call.
Putin looks at him and goes he got and what he won a missile.
Ordinance that we are going to come back in a just thirty -- seconds -- pat talking Turkey and then we'll turn to domestic.
Affairs on Doug -- for patent on this is politically.
-- -- and show and I'm back with pat and John and we are going to in this second turn to Turkey.
And pat but I what I want to suggest.
Is that there's a broader sense of drift in this administration we've been talking.
For weeks on the domestic side about the economy.
About the scandals but this sense of incidents around the world.
Typified by Snowden.
Egypt's Middle East peace talks and now.
But -- resurgence.
That's a noble one where we went again.
We certainly don't say it's clear what I like but we went and when America goes and man you better win the good thing we're doing thought we'd take him because he failed a -- -- right.
Eighteen embassies being shut down.
Thousands of prisoners -- weren't enough and cover breaking out of prisons in Afghanistan Pakistan.
Everywhere and going back in the field -- and it's just it's falling apart and it.
It's amazing he gets up there and spins his version of pat.
-- we don't want to -- this is what the next place that we should worry about is Turkey's central critical ally in secular Muslims paper.
Most of -- twentieth century's ritual since.
And -- -- been a key ally in NATO.
And -- looks like another place where Islamic radical islamists are taking over and there could be civil war I mean.
It's a series we could be missing Turkey.
Which really compete Egypt and Turkey you know than the hole would that mean both corners all our -- our Middle East falls -- -- and Israel's standing -- -- are driven a reactions to what fats -- No I think it's I think you know yesterday on the show -- I raised the analogy to 1979.
We're -- in the White House had no fault of pat really and even think it was a faulted Jimmy Carter it was a confluence of a bad economy the hostage crisis all that stuff.
And we used to hear this talk you know the president's he's too big for any one man.
We have heard that talk for 35 years I'm amazed we're not hearing it again with this president because he -- and on top of anything.
I think he is -- much more.
Sympathetically and -- can speak to this.
By the press -- Then Jimmy Carter ovals or any other -- modern president I compared -- including Bill Clinton -- thought there were pretty easy on something cases no I don't but this.
This is a press corps -- repeated basically decide the American people you know -- and they are covering up for him and acting he used his his agent.
As opposed to putting him under pressure which by the way Doug I would argue hurts the president because it is meet him complacent -- I think it is also made him.
Intemperate and -- attitudes he believes that if he.
The shows is a fit of temper anger.
That the world.
In the press the world will -- -- -- well in the press to very large extent but Vladimir Putin.
Italian not so much that's not gonna happen and thank god the Republicans however.
Have nothing there I mean.
He's won so you keep saying every week.
He's saving grace is -- what -- competent Republican.
Party -- do would be to mount an effective Bob look let's now let's use that as it.
Chance to turn to slide five.
Which is the Republican primary in 26 days.
Are the Republicans as divided as they appear to be well you've got Chris Christie -- 21.
Rubio at eighteen jab it Jeb Bush at sixteen Rand Paul at fifteen.
And Paul Ryan at thirteen what does this say to you John.
I thought these are -- -- likely voters that he Republican voters -- -- republic well I mean I think Chris Christie.
-- leading and most of these polls but not by a whole lot.
And I don't think the party really is in love yet with anybody but I think they're shopping around is to be expected at this point.
To find someone that's their new savior that's the history of Republican conservatives.
As we need a savior we had Reagan.
That we had no 14 while we had Gingrich for a year or two -- that bombed out than we thought George W.
We've we've we've true we tried -- tried Herman -- they tried everybody and they can't find one.
Christie who's electable in the general.
Goes out of his way to attack conservative a look at -- -- -- -- he goes out of his way to attack libertarians and -- And also to -- you know I there was a story I saw about Rand Paul and what does Rand Paul giving John and that pole he's just checked fifteen okay.
I think Paul has a distinctive constituency that is mobilized -- Yeah I I hate to say this and pat please don't hold this against me but I -- I will admit that I was reading Paul Krugman in the way down here.
I don't I apologize.
Card pay guests -- read Paul who we want it to head the -- And he said -- treatment.
The interview -- said but that he's dead and Graham -- answer was exactly we needed dead guy having the -- That's probably not quite the way I would -- -- -- a primary.
-- -- among these yet you know but let me just say we just had -- And I would also point out to you for what it's worth while -- general election -- primary slide eight -- who.
Which Republican UW really like -- -- Republican -- let's steps Friday.
So we could see and this is also of Republican voters look at the -- Christie at 31 Rand Paul at sixteen jab at fifteen.
What does this say to you -- first ball tells me that the electable candidate may not been nominated -- real stuff but this is usually is the real problem futures -- this.
Republicans -- keep you from receipt.
What they're not would be don't seem to understand is they need a message.
They need a narrative any case the makes some relevant to people and didn't find someone who's visitor days just were not the Democrats their cases were not to Democrats and we hate each -- OK so I guess that -- fantastic the message -- in the Republican primaries.
The one who's most opposite of the Democrats of -- -- of Hillary.
Is gonna do the best but the promise that puts you way out of the mainstream media are there what about Rick Santorum comes back and by the way to date on our stories he was -- Iowa over the weekend speaking would you support him I'll want one of my heroes I mean -- say it's hurting your first.
Santorum who by the way won eleven primaries nobody talks about because everyone knows it may be the front -- he -- you would normally think right Dead Man Walking everyone knows.
Because she's so.
Ups and I'm not and I think he's a man of principle I think his success with his principles and -- -- But and but but you know what there is and other what I believe out and we all.
For the Republican party for the country general there's a new paradigm if there's a whole new message.
But the Republican Party is divided in cannot seem to decide what are we I -- weren't we main street all.
The air yesterday Doug -- I discuss -- you go back to the heyday of Reagan.
Running an -- here right.
On foreign policy his policy was peace through strength -- -- rebuild the American military.
So that we are stronger than our enemies therefore our enemies won't screw around us.
He did it it worked.
Along comes George W.
Running system and have a humble foreign policy but after 9/11 he does a complete 180 invades countries -- and all that stuff.
So we have the neo con invade to be proactive crazy stuff.
Intervention every intervention everywhere and then it comes Ron Paul and now his son Rand Paul as a reaction of that with the libertarian -- we don't wanna know it ostrich in the sand.
There has to be between the two extremes someone in the middle.
Food because America is in the metal to common sense from young Americans and public and someone who's in the -- win the nomination in this far I don't several then.
Then we go back to what we've been back to every week for two years as a group on -- -- which is.
The only way someone's gonna win is not to be Republicans -- third can't really put -- The slide six the democratic primary -- we have we have Hillary at 39.
Seven for Biden seven for Cuomo three for Cory Booker pat madness is all voters were among Democrats only like you just -- Republicans.
It -- still be 63.
Joseph Biden twelve okay I mean she's so Smart and inside the Democratic Party.
Com then it's on what she has been before for those numbers are open primary against Sunni vice president.
Pretty amazing pretty amazing go to and that's the problem.
You don't have -- -- -- control her.
Back to Christie.
Christie's great -- I mean I think he's got some particular weakness he took on Rand Paul in defending me -- -- defending the what I call the national security state and trying to tie T 9/11 I don't know why.
Doing I mean attacking libertarians by me but what his numbers with independents and Democrats are -- whose numbers Republican.
That's why he's Internet well it would tell you Mobil one thing.
He's in general elect even general for me and quickly people -- every moment.
-- -- -- -- Let's put -- and slide.
Which is least likely to win the Democrat -- at least like to see -- win.
Hillary 27 Biden when -- -- so you know that's all voter drives like 1516.
Votes -- so it basically says Hillary's got about -- ten you know ten times the lead at about the same negative I think like the worst thing for.
Just looking politically for Hillary to be such -- win and not have to fight for the nomination what happens in sports when a team.
Doesn't have to fight to win they gets -- well no I don't I develop a measurement or not.
In me and an alternative universe where the Republican Party and the speaker and whatever we're pursuing and -- keeps -- you could -- what.
Parents who potential collateral damage event where you talk about reset when -- -- picture of her with the reset button -- -- misspelled.
To the Russian president -- premier.
No as the foreign medical -- -- of all of backpack and a I mean you know there are some real problems here -- if there was another positive note of an argument I have a better way.
Well there is no better way that I know other than every Sunday -- five sincerity to tune in.
To political insiders on the Fox News Channel will be back here on the web it.
10:30 next Monday morning for pat and John and Doug -- thanks for joining political insiders.