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I'm colonel Peters.
You -- about Fox News strategic analysts I've heard -- a number of times.
Talk about the tactical response says the Obama administration has made.
And not looking at the strategic implications but I've heard you talk about Libya.
Egypt and now Syria.
When you look at that conversation that's going -- on Capitol Hill today and I am in the United States about.
Military options for Syria we can't do nothing we should do something we're not going to have boots on the ground.
We're guarded you this we're not going to do that.
In -- experience.
-- to start with basic questions.
And I hear so much -- right now from both sides of the -- in Washington.
How we're -- -- intervene in Syria and we're -- cheaply and it's going to be clean as can be nice and neat title with a -- no problem no boots on the ground blah blah blah.
Well I'm not hearing community.
Is a serious discussion.
About our long term strategic aims the means we willing to allocate to achieve those name.
Whether or not we believe those -- can be achieved.
And whether or not pursuing those -- is likely to return give us a positive return our strategic investment.
It's one thing to say get a -- OK but what does that mean.
So we don't punish us well no Senator McCain wants Microsoft removed.
The White House wants to cover its political Fannie and that say it did something.
So we'll see what congress decides I'm hoping congress will decide against intervention.
I'm not hearing that discussion about the morning after.
If we do me out a robust strike against you -- regime and this -- takes the straw that broke camels back it starts crumbling.
Over a thousand tons of chemical weapons dispersed around the country.
A solid regime for security forces are guarding their -- if the regime is crumbling.
Their first concern is not regarding those sites is going to be getting out of there and saving their lives.
Who's gonna protect -- he can't he can't guard chemical sites from the air that's one reason or what if and -- discussing these things what if the regime falls instantly.
Al-Qaeda you know the island.
I don't -- diesel it.
Forces and Islamist forces general Qaeda the job released her from the others quickly grabbed Damascus -- three most important Arab cities.
How do we respond can't get them now with just airpower.
So my my point here isn't that these things are inevitably gonna happen.
But if we've learned anything from Iraq from staying in Afghanistan from Libya.
It should be that you might hope for the best but do you plan for the worst you've got a war game all the possible scenarios and you kind of -- Because if once we touch that Syrian tar -- -- be stuck to it.
I just don't believe that we can -- a few cruise missiles into the sand declare victory and and get off Scot free it's not gonna happen that way.
But what happens if the United States does take military action of some sort of in a minute -- Where -- -- a few -- -- -- -- -- and has no real effect on the war or -- the maximum trying to topple aside by arming the rebels training that rebels.
Becoming the air force.
-- the equivalent of al-Qaeda is air force or the rebels' air force as we did in Libya.
What happens and I mean what is serious reaction what are -- are likely response that day after.
Well really that's one point.
We don't know -- I think -- -- has his hands for he is not to attack Israel he knows that would be the end for his regime.
He may try to pull some terrorist on somewhere by proxy.
But I would worry much more about your role in pushing Hezbollah to hit Israel.
Israel worse will respond and then hopefully forcefully.
But didn't you know what -- -- -- Jordan.
Hasan might even do that.
And the the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan our our our friend.
There is not as stable as he'd like and -- by the way hated to hear Lindsey Graham say if a sergeant power a year from now the king of Jordan will fall.
You say that he did you think it might be true that's undercutting our -- when we're stupid remark.
But what -- this Iran responds to a heavy strike a symmetric -- by eight shenanigans in the gulf.
Driving closing the straits of Hormuz.
Or just would -- incident that drives maritime shipping rates for the Persian gulf through the roof drives up gas there are a lot of ramifications and again.
Isn't just deciding what you want to do.
Strategies about deciding how you can do it most effectively.
In war gaming the ramifications.
We don't know what's going to happen the day after the attack so we better start thinking a lot harder about it.
Then this White House has been willing to do because this point -- sees everything through political winds right now no matter what anybody says.
Is about covering for the president who made his red line Decker a declaration.
And found the he couldn't shouldn't wouldn't honor it now he's passed ball in congress I'm glad he did because at least represented as -- the American people will have a voice.
But nonetheless -- he did this.
Because that way if -- it's a win win for Obama of course because if congress has now we can say what -- -- -- about the red lines doesn't mean people in congress would let me do the right thing.
Goes whole hog Wear them.
Think congress shares the blame if things go wrong so I I see this White House is very Smart -- politically most of the time.
Tough -- fighters but without a -- strategically about how the world hangs together.
Look downloading your crystal ball where is the Middle East five were ten years from now on one hand rehab -- Syria is a harbinger of the future that is a proxy war where.
The aside government aligned with Hezbollah's -- and with Iran may be with -- on one hand.
And then on the other hand.
The Islamic jihadist who -- Sunnis the al-Qaeda outlined a line -- Cotter perhaps payroll than bankrolled by the with some of the wealthy -- borrow.
Families are we seen the beginning.
A Sunni Shiite jihadist conflict that -- blast.
More than just near -- Hi you're seeing the renewal.
I'm an age old conflict.
But when I look at -- Middle East today let's define it as everything from North Africa all the way.
To Pakistan beyond what we -- traditionally consider the Middle -- beyond just the Arab world to the Persian world that it -- that the Pashtun world.
-- nuclear apocalypse.
This fighting is not gonna stop -- -- -- -- ebb and flow.
But they're trying to resolve problems.
That were growing that a bit -- that with the region for millennia.
By the European colonial period.
By the artificial dysfunctional borders drawn largely -- at the very -- conference were.
-- the brits want kingdom of Iraq for their guys -- stick France -- something France -- -- -- mandate in Syria.
-- you know only is artificial carving up.
Which does one of two things.
It pushes people together don't want to be together.
We're pushes people apart -- the Kurds who do want to be together.
So a great handicap that we have strategically and as we have a -- -- McNally view of the world.
KT we view the world as if those borders especially our State Department as as those borders on the map.
Where there since the dawn of time since paley Olympic -- Al-Qaeda.
And the other Sunni -- -- groups as well as the Shia extremists don't see the borders -- we see.
They see the region as a whole emirates a talent that.
They think the realm of the -- That Oden and he goes even beyond the realm of the Arabs.
Into the realms of the Sunni.
And so our inability to think past twentieth century paradigms.
Hinders us terribly illness because again we don't see the world -- the map the same way.
But you're also seeing simultaneously.
A multi -- multi level civil war.
Stretching across that vast region with multiple partners -- -- on multiple adversaries not just to.
-- -- Sunni and she absolutely the big strong.
But with the use -- the in -- he had to struggle between water -- and moderates.
And fanatical extremists and some kind of traditional and -- traditionalists and fanatical extremists or on the same sheet of music.
So you've got that big east -- in the minorities all the various Christian denominations.
And then the -- lights and the druze and the sex and of course let's not forget Israel.
You've got all these parties shifting coalitions.
Complexities that we don't begin to understand.
And I'll just go back to what I said earlier we touch that Syrian tar baby and -- -- in it.
While we're fat I think we should -- -- and her -- occur around -- You're -- it's your -- author how are Richmond and the Fox News strategic analyst thank you so much for your wisdom and air inside.
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