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What exactly will the Russians -- to do and what exactly will don't carry come back with in terms of the deal on whether -- indeed can the Russians really be trusted to ports.
The chemical weapons in Syria and beyond use let's last month because so she's an assistant professor.
At the school of international affairs of Georgia Tech in Atlanta Molly thank you very much for joining us this lady is the crunch bit now isn't -- what's Russia can actually do.
To get rid of those weapons what you think that -- -- planning right now.
Well as to what they're specifically planning.
That's a great deal speculation and that in that area.
What were hoping to see a number of us are looking to see some.
Truly implement a ball and executables.
Process go forward.
Rather than -- just being a stall tactic.
We've seen some positive indications from the Syrians in terms of a knowledge -- the chemical weapons stockpile.
That we haven't heard a lot of specifics with respect to it.
So let's see what comes out of Geneva in terms of what are the path for word.
To implement and to -- acute.
Some sort of international oversight.
Of the destruction.
The chemical weapons in Syria.
-- -- the first problem's going to be seen that had their hands -- -- stopped policy mean off ruled these weapons -- stored in places where there was a conflict going on can the Syrian government guarantee safe passage for the inspected teams.
To actually even get -- that the remotely -- problems in making this happen on the on the ground.
Absolutely and that is just one of the first ones you know this question of you know Willie will Libya cease fire -- but he's come down to political questions.
As well as ones of you know how do you do this in terms of logistics what are going to be the requirements.
In terms of trying to get international.
Form where ever they might originate.
It's an extraordinarily.
Difficult to do them in the -- of an ongoing civil war.
So that's the first issue that has to be dealt west.
You know under what sort -- circumstances.
Might we be pursuing.
A plan to.
Try to either consolidate.
And then destroyed our destroy the chemical weapons.
And at each individual site.
He wants those weapons of being seen what seized when do you actually taped them and against -- Syria is Russia gonna handle hang -- them.
What are the Americans gonna want the Russians to do it and she needs the Russians that getting into the tenacity is that entirely international team that takes the weapons.
-- it's not likely.
That the weapons we'll actually be transferred.
Brush or transferred to Russia.
They're just started a whole number of logistical challenges.
Including transporting chemical weapons in the middle of a conflict zone out of Syria.
A -- likely scenario would be either neutralize -- some sort of destruction process.
On site each of the individual sites.
Or -- consolidation.
At a few sites with in Syria.
Some sort of -- again neutralize patients -- -- destruction process would -- Then the next piece becomes -- who's in overseeing who's gonna supervise this.
We know that the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons.
Is involved in the negotiations.
And the OP CW.
That's the international implementing body for the chemicals chemical weapons convention.
So that would be overseeing if they were brought in that'd be then be overseen by -- national body.
Now again there is the possibility that being largely of Russian managed Russian executed.
Or -- impossibility of it being a US Russia bilateral.
Agreement by a bilateral effort.
And begin possibly bringing in any of other number of states.
To sort of oversee an exe cute the destruction of the stockpiles.
The Russians and strong armed sad obviously into a green -- -- and and the Russians and actually identify.
And be honest about where -- keeping their weapons and whether they actually and the more like.
That's a great question.
And so you've got -- issue if it's done under the OP CW the CWC rules.
That would be then a situation in which a -- the Syrian government.
What is their stockpile.
Now international inspectors.
Don't go -- it to sort of look for when they're going to that the CWC process.
They -- going in to look for.
-- -- are hidden.
So there's a great deal of trust and the verification.
Aspect that international inspectors would be overseeing.
Would be verifying.
Destruction that was being done.
Whether it being done by the the state that has declared the stockpile or be overseen by third party state.
So there's still -- this question of dean does one trust.
Being number that comes out of the aside regime.
Any number that is specifically declared.
And put forward by the Russians.
Here in America there's a lot of sketches about what the questions motivations.
And the Russian Hussein that we actually have a track record in doing this self ruled a -- disarmed the nukes.
For a variety of countries I think he was it was -- Ukraine and Kazakhstan they've done this in the -- is there anything different between doing.
That's and -- Sunnis in this chemical weapons in Syria.
-- there -- whole number of of things that are similar as you point out after the fall of the Soviet Union.
That air overnight they became three new nuclear weapons states -- ballot Belarus Ukraine and -- Exxon and agreements were made back.
Roommate for those weapons to be returned back to the sold the at the back to Russia.
Because they were originally -- Russian nuclear weapons so this is one precedent.
-- another precedent if we look to Libya.
In which the -- agreed to give up.
Both its chemical weapons stockpile as well as nuclear materials.
There's an infrastructure that they had.
Put together so currently.
The living -- Sulfur mustard sometimes referred to -- sulfur.
-- mustard gas.
Is on going and has been stalled.
But that's another sort of model one could look at in much more of a bilateral.
Which it does have involvement.
Of the international.
Community but not any way where it's led by the international community.
And as well -- force even if that's chemical weapons stockpiles do get -- -- confiscated.
It doesn't prevent Syria from actually.
Creating manufacturing more chemical weapons in the future rough rule -- receiving the kind of materials and ingredients for him well even European countries that can be used to turn into.
Future chemical weapons for example the -- -- -- into some fabrics and things like that can.
That'll be used to its credit -- weapons -- really.
The issue -- -- -- -- have to leave it that their moderate coastal assistant professor at school of international affairs at Georgia Tech in Atlanta thank you very much for joining us.
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