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I commit to our country and -- -- frowning joining us now is admiral Tim Keating.
He has had a long and storied career in the United States navy as a pilot as a commander.
One of the -- he had especially during the -- first Iraq War was commander of US forces in the middle east of the fifth fleet.
I ask you admiral Keating issue that the negotiations between the United States and around and -- just begun over Iran's nuclear program.
What happens if it doesn't work out what happens if Iran either gas nuclear weapons or.
Stops just short of nuclear weapons -- the other countries in the region do in response -- Hard to predict with any certainty KT but I would hazard the opinion based on in two years in Bahrain as you mentioned.
And frequent discussions with diplomats and military leaders all throughout the Middle East.
Any perception or positive proof.
That Iran has.
Deliverable weaponized nuclear.
Would be -- in the significantly destabilizing.
Factor in the Middle East none of the countries over there.
Would welcome this go a few -- Syria perhaps none of the others -- welcome this.
Would gladly -- would likely take some measures may be some significant measures on her own to combat this developing for a.
-- -- you say significant measures -- their are you saying that maybe the Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia Kuwait United Arab Emirates Turkey.
That they would all feel the need to get nuclear weapons of their own -- launching a nuclear arms race in the most.
Dangerous part of the world.
I think that could happen KTI don't have -- to believe that it will happen but as you well know in your listeners will know.
Many of those countries have pretty deep pockets and distrust of persians to use.
Words title and our friends -- throughout -- region applied to Iranian people writ large and leaders.
There's significant distrust of Iran.
And its leaders throughout the Middle East and the likelihood.
Of countries who have deep pockets taking significant measures I think -- high would that include developing -- nuclear programs.
Not sure but it would certainly include.
In a ballistic missile defenses and increased armed force capabilities.
-- one country that seems to me it doesn't seem to have a vote in any of the Geneva negotiations between United States or -- other world powers and that's Israel.
Israel the prime minister has said -- -- not going to accept.
A -- with nuclear weapons do you -- that area you've met with those leaders what do you think he has really is would do.
If Iran does look like it's getting to be a nuclear weapons state.
Yeah again impossible for me to predict I've spent some time with Israeli military and diplomatic leaders.
I know our friends at the Central Command tape or -- working this issue very very carefully.
As with our State Department.
Israel has said that they would view.
Development of a weaponized.
Nuclear platform as an existential threat.
If you take them at their word that might include the possibility of their launching a retaliatory strike or or strike in advance of final development of the way.
Such a strike would -- very demanding.
Iran while their forces are old and not well trained they're not that this.
Integrated air defense systems not trivial they've got a -- airplanes something -- fourteens and a force nonetheless they've got -- reasonable capability.
So an Israeli long range strike would be very very difficult it would take great bravery on the part of their pilots the likelihood of their succeeding is in a 100%.
And if they do get to the target the likelihood of there completely eliminating an Iranian nuclear development program.
Isn't -- hi as you know some of the -- Richard deeply buried and very well protected so.
Israel views this as a significant problem.
I suspect Israel was watching that the talks that you mentioned.
Very carefully we can all be hopeful that they'll be positive elements -- come from the talks but we have to be prepared for several eventuality should the talks fail.
And we're batting cleared the United States getting drawn I mean America's war weary we don't want another war in the Middle East -- could you foresee a situation where the United States.
Would be reluctantly drawn into a complex -- battling this.
I don't think that's impossible we surely don't want to have a declaratory policy from the administration that takes our military activity.
Off the page should Iran continued with the new -- program I think it has to remain a possibility in the eyes of the Iranian leaders.
Let's switch to Syria the president and threaten an attack on Syria over their chemical weapons years were now negotiations were there.
Hopefully they Syrian chemical weapons are being -- get taken and dismantled but we still -- -- military option on the table.
What would a military option against Syria look like and how successful whether it -- I keep fortunately if she were to -- I've not been read in -- now for three years now but I can assume that.
-- announced that one of the options the president is that is has.
At his disposal is the use of tomahawk land attack missiles from navy ships and or submarines.
I guess the brits are gonna participate in the they've helped us in Iraqi freedom they launched a number -- -- into Iraq so.
Options include use of -- -- missiles we could deliver.
Hundreds of -- the president so directed to -- that the navy in the six fleet in fifth fleet is ready to respond.
And it would be that that number of missiles very precise.
Long range over a thousand miles significant warheads could do.
Considerable damage to Syrian targets.
Wearing -- and I -- chemical -- -- and I don't think there's any intention those it's almost it's similar to the Iranian nuclear problem.
We don't know where -- sure I doubt we know where the Syrian new chemical weapons are they've had plenty of time to disperse and hide them.
To -- -- not a country would be an option for them but we could.
Inflict damage on the Syrian military.
And its support structure and would certainly caused a significant problems for -- -- leaders.
OK well thank you very much admiral Tim Keating.
I'm talking about the middle is said to the region of the world he has fought wars and -- knows very well thanks so much for joining us several.
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