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Ended -- country and -- and -- -- Turning yesterday's ambassador John Bolton the United States -- ambassador to the United Nations and a brilliant Fox News contributor.
You know went past several.
We seem to be on the verge of war with Syria if Syrians have used chemical weapons they cross president Obama's front line we were sounded like we were.
You know scrambling the -- and loading the missile silos and yet then a month ago everything's gonna change we had either keystone.
Cops diplomacy or brilliant diplomacy depending upon your -- We then we're going to have United Nations inspections of the Syrians were kinder to -- chemical weapons.
It doesn't look like any of those things happening in -- found some serious gotten even -- so where are we today and where should.
Well I think every prospect is that the civil war in Syria is gonna continue as far as the eye can see but what has happened as a result of the confused.
Reaction by the Obama administration the on again off again possibility of attack.
The Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons coming -- destroyed the chemical weapons supplies the negotiations.
Is that the aside regime has been stabilized then and strengthened to some degree -- of this international attention.
It has allowed some increase in activity by Syrian army units on the ground that there helping to protect.
The chemical weapons inspectors and the rebels have been reluctant in those circumstances to end up in a military standoff with.
With the UN officials on the other side of the firing line and it's given aside needed legitimacy that to be sure this is this is temporary.
But it's the kind of boost that helps decide internally because it obviously is -- demoralize.
Who -- waiting for American diplomacy they were waiting for Obama to follow through on what they thought was his.
Commitment once aside use chemical weapons for an American response they haven't seen that frankly I haven't seen much.
Delivery on those American weapons that Obama promised over a year ago.
So it's -- in your room.
Opinion that -- rebels are really it's a matter of time but essentially -- -- Well I don't I don't think we can know that for sure I think they're definitely on the downhill slope at this point but.
Over that -- almost three years now we forget how long this is going on but almost three years.
We've seen both sides go up -- uphill and downhill I think the long term prognosis for the opposition.
Is that the those elements that you could legitimately described as pro democratic pro western.
Are going to wither away and the al-Qaeda terrorist jihadist elements will gain strength and that will make it even harder for the Obama administration.
To justify why it wants to replace the aside regime about which nothing good can be said.
With another set of people who are are aren't going to be any better best and and may turn out to be worse.
So angry and -- -- notion that all options still on the table that we could use.
Military force against Syria -- doesn't comply with this destruction chemical weapons if it doesn't.
Sort of go along with the roadmap and timetable.
That a credible plan.
No not -- all and I don't think you're you're ever gonna hear the Obama administration say that but honestly if the president couldn't bring himself to use military force.
In the immediate aftermath.
Civilians being killed by chemical weapons hundreds of them infants with.
Pictures that just that -- your -- here.
If he couldn't do it then is he got to do it because for the fifteenth time the Syrian government has failed to meet its.
Timetable for the destruction weapons I don't think so and I think there is a symbol.
Of that just in the past few days.
When the Russians.
Flatly rejected a suggestion by secretary of state Kerry that -- chemical weapons be moved outside of Syria for destruction.
What that would mean would be that big -- -- chemical weapons would no longer be in the side's hands and then at that point you don't care really when they're destroyed the Russians have rejected that obviously aside has rejected that so this long slow.
Destroying the chemical weapons is simply -- -- prolong.
The left that this deal has given the Asad regime.
Let's turn to Saudi Arabia something that that media is throwing not focused on.
But it your former seat at the United Nations the Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia has for years sloppy to get on the Security Council it finally came up its number came up it was Saudi Arabia's -- and in the complete about face -- turned -- down.
-- I don't I'm not aware of any precedent in the entire history of the UN where somebody's been elected to a non permanent seat and then rejected.
The saudis issued a statement it was remarkable for its clarity it said the Security Council could do its job that followed double standard.
And it specifically cited Syria.
As one of its main problems in and I think Saudi Arabia knows.
That there's no prospect of the council doing anything significant on Syria as long as Russia and China continue to cast vetoes as they have before.
But but the real symbolism here is not.
Just over the Syria.
Debacle in the council that that's obviously an important matter it's that.
Saudi Arabia in effect has said the emperor has no clothes here Dick council can't do its job well that that's exactly right.
Whether it's the Ronnie -- nuclear weapons program which I think was another significant feature here of the Saudi decision not to going.
The council or any number of other things this is a shock to the UN system this is somebody telling the truth.
About what most members of the UN don't even want to talk about.
So you talk about the -- she talked about the United Nations the credibility of the United Nations this is greatly.
You know diminished but the real elephant in the room is -- -- the Iran nuclear program.
You know it sounded like we were going to have fast track negotiations should I say it's Iran were meeting are part of a larger group.
Iran's going to give up its nuclear weapons we're going to -- and we're going to give up the sanctions that we've imposed as a result.
Where is that now and what what do you think is the likely outcome of this is supposedly a deal that's going to happen within the next six months.
Well it's ironic but I think both the erotic and negotiators and the Obama negotiators are trying to give the impression this -- on a fast track that we see the outlines of the deal that will be able to make progress quickly.
So it's it's sort of like both sides saying if we had some bread we could have a ham sandwich if we had some hand that the problem is there is nothing there there.
And I think that will come out what what the Iran ends.
Want more than anything else is relief from the economic sanctions has not affected the nuclear program but it has caused economic pain.
And they understand that if they can get even.
Some minimal relief from the sanctions stable of turned a corner -- it will pass to flex point.
And will then be easier to get further reductions in sanctions and very hard for the US -- To -- those sanctions back up again so even a small reduction in the sanctions would be a big victory for Iran and they hope to achieve that.
By making at best superficial concessions on the nuclear pro.
Nobody's talking about is is Israel's role -- office -- seems to be United States Iran on the major world powers and yet Israel.
It's a vote they just don't get -- vote at the department table of diplomacy you know what's Israel's reaction.
Well they're dismayed about the prospect of these negotiations because they see Iran following the same game plan the same playbook that -- used so successfully before buying time buying legitimacy in this case.
From Iran's point of view perhaps buying a reduction in the sanctions.
And they see the outline of the deal and that's even worse than the continued negotiations because it appears that the Obama administration is prepared.
To concede that Iran can have a uranium enrichment capability and once you cross that line once you allow Iran.
That operational capability.
Iran could break out and weaponized to weapons grade uranium at a at a time entirely of its own choosing -- I think the bottom line for Israel as the pressure is now on even more they understand.
That one President Obama says all options are on the table that nobody believes that the Israelis don't believe it Iranians don't believe him.
So if there's got to be action here against the nuclear weapons program in Iraq it's gonna have to come from Israel that that's why.
I think the spotlight will be on Israel for the next several months.
OK well thank you very much ambassador John Bolton.
-- United States ambassador to the land on a tour of the Middle East thanks so much benefit for Defcon three countries and.
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