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To be struggling -- mid term season long standing incumbents such as the senate majority leader Harry Reid of Nevada Russ Feingold of Wisconsin both behind in the polls.
Even in states that are normally democratic for instance California and Washington State races are very tight.
In Colorado the incumbent democratic senator Michael Bennet running against -- Tea Party favorite that -- also too close to call.
An independent voters importantly say they're more likely to vote Republican by a margin of 10%.
That's according -- you go of a research and consulting organization which use the Internet collect that.
Democrats apparently trail among white male middle class voters.
Joining us now Joseph -- season Fox News contributor he worked on senate gubernatorial and presidential campaigns.
Including that of Howard Dean who's also senior advisor to the John Edwards presidential campaign will join us tomorrow night.
For analysis and -- tonight -- -- -- is always.
-- -- -- what what is the race if you're looking at the East Coast.
What is the race that for you is the Bellwether to give us an idea of what happens the rest of the -- I waited talk look at West Virginia mansion vs racy.
Racing I think had a real shot at it was running ahead in in in mansion.
You know took a lead it's been going back forth as close a little now.
If that thing goes Republican and I think there's if there's a shot at taking.
More than seven -- seats in the in the senate if mansion holds onto I think -- really.
Makes it tough for Republicans to gain -- to take the senate for so for viewers who don't understand governor Manchin is extremely popular in the state in the state of West Virginia his poll numbers are still very high.
He's moderate and seems to be in line with with the voters thoughts on the issues of the day and yet.
Because he's in office he is trailing in the polls.
That's very unusual I don't think we've seen anything quite like that and such it.
In a spot like that really since 94 and it was going the other in the exact same direction.
No that's right I mean I think that is the that's one where it -- you know if you see some wins that popular in the state.
You know if he takes every that's reason he can still win he's so popular but if something goes wrong there.
And -- wins it did something wrong -- my perspective of the Democrats something goes wrong they're racing wins it I think it starts to spell -- very tough night the rest of the way.
I want to talk about this Gallup poll which Chris Wallace mentioned in the last segment.
Generic vote preference in 2010 -- -- congressional election not not giving a specific name indicated just.
Will you be voting who you vote for for whom will you vote.
Or Democrats 55 to 40% I can't remember a split in this particular category F.
No I can't I can't be there it's you don't want to see that number net number is worsened it was in 1994.
I think it's one of the reasons most people you you know we were.
Take off their partisans hats and look at this would say it's arrogant not going to be likely all the Democrats can hold the House of Representatives and -- I think it is more likely to be at least the 52 seats that that we losses Democrats in 1994.
Could be higher I wouldn't be surprised though there have been some racist just like there were Gracie Mansion race but in the house where.
Democrats who calls it a little bit it's gotten tighter years there's been more energy -- will see guys I definitely think it's going to be in the fifties them.
There's no question that the Democrats lost control -- the narrative and they did so in the early going it's widely believed including by Democrats now that it was more than that.
Did the party lose touch -- what is your sense of big picture what happened here or is it as simple as economy and jobs and -- in power.
I think its economy and jobs and were in power mean there may be some other mistakes that were made to look I mean the fact is.
We've got we've run into a really bad economy.
Things haven't turned around.
Are the you know the -- for every poll I've seen it's the biggest issue.
And I think that's one of the things is going on years or so the national narrative.
Wanting to just throw out the people -- power.
The democratic campaigns that have taken it and tried to make it local.
Harry Reid's personality and policies verses here and angle and where.
Where the Republicans have nominated somebody like Sharon angle.
-- -- there's a fight it's a dead heat otherwise I think Harry Reid would be a lot worse trouble than just being in a dead heat I mean it's.
Yes I know it's that she's run a good campaign and in the she's right there Wear them but it's actually probably a miracle.
That he's in the fight that he's in he has a shot to win the -- give in the mood of the country the mood of of Nevada and what's happening economically in the kind.
Very quickly if UK and in a broad sense politically.
What changes from the White House in the house of this and the senate after the new congress takes over.
Well I think look Obama's got a compromise mean we we it was very tough to get things done with the majority's that we had in the house and the -- -- those majorities diminished the only way.
Is that to hope that the GOP's would work and the two parties were together assault some -- -- that's what the American people want.
Joseph Trippi will be with us again tomorrow night for analysis on the Fox Broadcast network down the dial Joseph good -- you thank you.
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