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-- this is stunning development to tell you that in the race to replace the late Ted Kennedy's seat in the Senate now in new poll -- Republican Scott Brown.
Ahead now a Democrat Martha Coakley just days before the Massachusetts voters head to the polls this Tuesday a joint poll by -- university and NBC's Boston affiliate.
Shows brown ahead of of Coakley 50%.
To 46% isn't the first -- it has shown him.
Ahead of her -- within the polls not margin of error is sure to send shockwaves through this story and do the democratic establishment.
Indeed now after all -- Democrats outnumber Republicans in the state.
By a margin of 321.
In Massachusetts so look at these numbers Larry -- the director.
The center for politics at the University of Virginia and the author of the year of Obama Larry thank you so much it's great having you with us today.
-- this is a huge it's -- into a huge political story.
In this country because Scott Brown is saying elect me to the US senate and I will be the 41 Republican vote and I will turn the tide.
Of health care reform taught me about your assessment of what's going on in Massachusetts Larry.
What Martha it's just what you said it's astounding.
Look all -- the momentum is with Scott Brown who could have four scenes a month ago.
You couldn't find an observer in Massachusetts who thought that look -- that Coakley would lose by less than like twenty.
Points -- what would win would dough -- win rather buy less than twenty points so this is absolutely amazing.
I do think obviously that -- -- major problem now is what happens on Tuesday with the democratic machine especially in Boston.
They can really pull out some votes so they're still hurdles here.
But the key factor is it's even close -- Massachusetts liberal Massachusetts Ted Kennedy's seat.
What do you think moderate Democrats around the country you're thinking they have the be Jesus scared out right now.
-- yeah -- as you know better than anybody every state sort of has its own unique character Democrats in Massachusetts are extremely passionate.
And they are -- though the legacy of Kennedy is very strong to this day in Massachusetts.
And Vicki Kennedy is -- -- the other -- SI you know you do it for Teddy basically.
Don't let this happen no let us lose this seat how powerful is that going to be over the next few days do you think.
Well their problem is they've got to motivate Democrats that will help -- -- -- Democrats right now the enthusiasm is with.
Republicans but also independents and remember close to half the voters there and enroll -- essentially independent.
They usually vote democratic but they can't be persuaded to vote Republican they've elected a series of Republican governors until I'm I -- an action so.
The Mitt Romney among themselves look but at governor's different than -- yeah this seat.
This seat has been held for you know sixty years by Democrat the last time a Republican won a senate seat in Massachusetts was 1972.
Wow that's how incredible a victory.
By Scott Brown would be.
Then it's -- held up get held up that they're gonna look at all the absentee -- they're gonna go to the military ballots that Scott Brown says if he believes that will come down on his side.
But timing is gonna be everything -- we're closing in on the health care gear and deal in Washington and the both jets coming on the pipeline.
What do you think's gonna happen.
That it exactly what you just said they're going to find lots of reasons not to certify immediately.
They can drag this thing out potentially for weeks.
But I'll tell you what the key questions going to be.
If Scott Brown wins what happens with the moderate Democrats in the Senate who -- on the ballot in November people like senator blanch Lincoln from Arkansas.
-- will they vote will they defect from the health care bill.
They can they can keep Scott Brown out of the Senate until they stopped the health care bill through and notice the White House is staying up all night.
The last couple of nights negotiating the.
It's quite political story for anybody who loves this kind of step this one is one.
To watch very closely Larry zapatero so great to have you here with a stands to hash it out thank you Sarah.
Thank you -- the night --
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