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High around -- deep in conversation here -- eighteen days ago and the candidates hitting the trail running in some hotly contested.
Battleground states today.
Did an assistant for everybody has to have -- Senator McCain -- in Florida.
And in North Carolina Senator Obama is in Virginia and Illinois they're -- on to state run these days every day.
Governor -- is in Ohio and Indiana and Pennsylvania she's got three states you can and I got an extra there.
And Senator Biden is something New Mexico and in Nevada let's bring in today's -- -- Larry is Fox News political analyst and editor of the national review.
AB Stoddard is associate editor with the hill newspaper she's here intact today folks and -- classes -- -- action was joining us in Washington.
Welcome everybody you know rich and Howard Wolfson this morning say that you can basically tell us what this campaign I wear these folks are spending their time yeah.
Up until yesterday up until today.
McCain has -- a lot of a lot of times in states that make people wonder why he was there like Pennsylvania for example there's a thirteen point spread in the polls.
What do you think about what where we plan to.
Look we have John McCain as a path to victory is extremely narrow one it's holding all the bush states except for I owe it to seem certain is going to lose except for New Mexico which is probably gone.
And holding Colorado.
If he does that to seven before he wins but it's all all the ground is is that.
Being outplayed on his red states as a defensive game for John McCain at this point and.
Here's our way let's take a look at the favorable numbers ministries in favorability numbers that we have.
And there's John McCain favorable 50% unfavorable 42%.
Let's take a look at Barack Obama's favorable numbers.
57 to 36 that's a pretty widespread.
Bill press touch me a little bit about about these favorability numbers and also where the candidates are spending their time today.
About president agree with Richard before around for John McCain to have to be fighting today for Virginia fighting.
For Florida and fighting for North Carolina.
Is not good for him they ought to be in the bag for John McCain at this point particularly.
He is really playing a defensive game in on the on the -- on the favorability numbers Martha I think it shows that.
The impact of the negative campaigning look in my former life -- of -- press.
I came to Washington here I ran campaigns are with the candidate wants myself -- -- negative campaigns work.
But I think this year may prove to be the exception because I think with the economy's so bad people don't want to hear it.
And secondly I just don't think John McCain is good added he's not comfortable out it and so I think it has backfired it has hurt him and the campaign is has suffered because of the.
It about his right on something you've been saying maybe because you know everybody says negative campaigns work.
We have lacks in numbers not really in bear that out for John McCain why do you think and it.
I think this is the 100 songs and work because of financial meltdown has such an unprecedented crisis and people are so afraid.
The fact that he spent this time since the fall of Wall Street.
Talking about his opponents associations.
Instead of this panic that we're all feeling.
Is this to the detriment of John McCain's campaign I think -- that's these attacks on Barack Obama's -- -- associations and judgments and relationships -- past would have worked another time but not this time.
Yeah I mean I didn't -- -- -- it seems that that the elephant in the realm of the markets and the economy of the pain that people feeling.
And rarely seems to come up and it really tangible way that it seems to be so president ever plaza not that present in this campaign.
Lessig is another poll numbers that we haven't is we're talking about the rich is that can be looked back on -- potentially as one of the stakes of this campaign.
Look I think.
John McCain -- running a pretty good campaign to September 15 when Elaine and Brothers went down and not just John McCain every Republican in the country to be hit from that.
So I think -- got to factor that in no matter what whether he's suspend his campaign went back to Washington are not.
He is going to take a hit and on the negative campaigning I think -- -- -- legitimate issue I think negative campaigning does work a closet shrewd and on point.
But the negative campaigning had to be about the economy I take away the most important poll result from this AP Yahoo! poll ten point Obama lead on how to handle the economy and that's the thing that John McCain has begun after -- hasn't been.
Until this point.
There isn't Gallup poll out there bill press that says that 2% difference in these candidates.
And it does raise -- question any innocent people say well it is not really great poll because it's a traditional voters are likely voters.
And we may not be getting a lot of folks who are going to come out Barack Obama in that number -- -- -- -- -- -- you know what about -- Independent -- -- young voters -- -- -- very -- Frankly I don't put any stock in the day today horse race back and forth I think the key numbers look out of the battleground states state by state.
And when you look at that I'm not saying look this thing could turn this thing could turn around on the thing it's in the back but when you look at battleground state by state.
Barack Obama didn't several polls already has if the election were held today more than 270 electoral votes to -- And again at ten point lead in Florida like a thirteen point lead in in Pennsylvania five point lead and Ohio 45 point lead in Florida.
These are states that John McCain ought to have been and Barack Obama should not even.
Having -- I thought I was -- a little surprised if the national numbers really two points I don't think it is.
But -- the national number tightens those states are going to -- as well so I sort of I look at the national numbers leading indicator sure -- this one but you know as one state it's one poll rather yeah I know -- Angel ABC -- regularly -- -- have him out of state numbers -- -- up and down like plastic let's not -- -- but those those late breakers in the primaries always -- for Hillary and me if you've resisted Barack Obama for almost two years.
It bad that you might just get in the Congo for John McCain you might say home.
But John McCain has some voters against Dell and apple us I expect a little bit of time Colin Powell talked and then he met a that he -- endorse a candidate this weekend is on the Sunday talk shows.
House -- -- if you think that would be out.
Finally -- you get him back.
The first thought I I hit my prediction on my radio show this morning with Colin Powell Powell will endorse Barack Obama on meet the press I know I've no facts to back that up but I just but my gut tells me I think would be huge show.
Hotels one of the most respected leaders of this country today -- and to be great.
Formula One of the occasion to run the McCain campaign of one of their their folks was quoted as saying that they do not expect that they have no indication that he's going to come out and in -- their candidacy just isn't -- Last night was beaten and of course in New York and there was the Al Smith dinner and there was also as if that was an up.
A concert really Dolan Bruce Springsteen gave -- -- -- here's a rock bottom had to say.
-- -- -- You know why he's he's smart to point that out you know basically there have been plenty of times when we've been this close to the election.
And everybody has felt that it couldn't go any way except the way it was going and in the last fourteen days you start to see things turnaround -- Even -- you know and he points out New Hampshire and Barack Obama has cited that example.
No animals were calling it you know the day out I don't expect to Hillary when he pulled it out so look I'm not a Red Sox fan I hate it last night.
They're around seven I think throughout -- -- -- -- still want to and I don't I emailed Red Sox fan and his response was there's still hope for him until I got.
Amy left -- Andy and Colin -- I think that Colin Powell on north Barack Obama would be devastating for John McCain if John McCain can't get that endorsement I believe that he probably can't.
They need to keep him from giving it publicly took it to a -- they really yeah.
It is based on palaces -- I don't want to get an at this point I we have there's -- face that you cannot act and it it what do you think it's I don't know Sierra bomber now.
Yeah yeah I don't think -- I think Colin Powell's going to go on meet the press on Sunday and have nothing to say.
He's smarter than that he knows this is the time to make a move that's why it's going to right look at the Dow up 300 points us it doesn't.
It may be right had a nice Linksys uses it's just had a baby yesterday it's Larry and I'll pass that well that's always a pleasure attacked you -- thanks -- -- amber -- expecting.
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