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And the fox.
And that's -- -- things it's crunch time for Israel on Iran.
This is -- about to launch an attack on Iraq.
And is it US going to try and stop Israel from we have some bastard the united nations general joins us live investor -- but Iran but first your thoughts on President Clinton in North Korea.
Securing the release these two women.
-- had flashbacks to 1994 when former president Jimmy Carter suddenly showed up the North Korea in the middle of very difficult negotiations over the north's nuclear weapons program and came out with something very different than what President Clinton won in south.
I had divisions of the same thing but I think given that mrs.
Clinton as secretary of state.
This is probably a little bit better coordinated and it sounds like a deal has been worked out I don't think they would send.
The former president and less he was gonna come out with the two reporters.
And I forgot that -- -- Jimmy Carter had been the night before I spoke to Jeff Griffin that's right given their well being and to see iffy -- does return those two women.
Stunning development in that story.
Iran and Israel is Israel all likely in your view it to take you used -- unilateral steps against Iran.
I don't think is it.
Israel has really made a decision but I think if you look at the history.
Israel has not been afraid to take preemptive military action when it has seen an existential threat.
To the State of Israel it destroyed -- Iraq reactor outside of Baghdad in 1981 it destroyed.
-- North Korean reactor in Syria in September of 2007.
If anything the threat posed by Iran's nuclear program is even -- so based on that history you'd have to bet that they probably would.
Boys -- down a President Obama has given North Korea at -- number -- -- has given Iran until September to say whether or not it would have of these discussions about nuclear weapons -- What happens after the date passes and if if Iran does basically -- a soft.
Well -- the theory then at least as articulated by the administration is we then turn to sanctions.
Perhaps against refined gasoline being imported into Iran perhaps others.
All of that's very -- -- and in fact would have been a great idea about six years ago whether those sanctions can.
Be put into place and have any impact on Iran's nuclear weapons program today is a very different story but.
The administration is itself running out of time I think they're very aware that but the Israelis are running out of time too because the military option.
Against Iran is -- declining option over time.
Weather report today -- the ride has since said that they'd have a nuclear weapon in six months or that enough uranium matter and rich for the six months.
And a nuclear weapon within a year and a delivery system which is the key thing you know actually delivered.
How do you believe those are -- -- -- -- anyway precedent what is a realistic timetables.
Well first off it.
-- these reports are based on what we think we know is supposed to what we don't know and what we don't know about Iran really bothers me but one very interesting aspect of this article in the times of London was.
The discussion of the high explosive.
Research that Iran has been doing their listeners reported as far back as the fall of 2004.
Jonathan Karl on ABC news.
And then gives the -- to the famous 2007.
National Intelligence Estimate that says that.
Iran had stopped work on the weapons program in the fall of 2003 I think Iran is very close.
Actually being able to produce a weapon I think they have mastered all of the science and technology they need.
So the notion that they're very close I think is accurate and is really the pressure building on Israel to make this decision whether to use military force.
Anissina essays putting pressure on Israel to put the brakes on this authority and what is what's we -- -- hands off on the slain Israel.
Make its own decision -- very definitely a lot of pressure being applied by the administration Defense Secretary gates was in Israel last week along with.
Former senator George Mitchell National Security Adviser Jim Jones it was a traffic jam of American convoys in Jerusalem on on these subjects.
I think the Obama administration understands that if by Israel uses military force the chances of negotiation with the regime in Iran are pretty.
-- and I think their view is they wanna do anything they can to have these negotiations.
Well I must say the Israelis I don't have any reason to think that that negotiations are gonna change Iran's determination to get nuclear weapon.
And -- -- if you look at me and it is isn't a horrible position geographically they're very close to Iran and Iraq can reach them so they've got that concerned they don't want to offend us because we've been so supportive of them on the other hand.
I don't get the sense of Israel thinks and negotiation is an option -- between the United States and Iran say is that is that is that about right is said to -- about right and that.
Now I think I think that's correct I think from Israel's point of view what what makes it very hard as they know Iran is trying to increase its air defense capability.
They know that Iran is likely to be dispersed -- and further hardening its nuclear program.
Which means that even if -- successfully let's say destroyed Iran's uranium enrichment facility in the times.
Iran could be building a duplicate facility a couple hundred miles away.
That's why military strike is not the complete solution to Iran's nuclear efforts -- it will buy time which is very important.
But if you if you -- perceive where Iran isn't in its nuclear program.
You could find six months from now Iran has the bomb and then all of these calculations changed dramatically.
-- Susan -- has three choices they can either build it.
And it never done with the new year.
Are they can make -- they can have negotiations not build it but they've never negotiations and lie and build it on the Al wild but while we -- that they -- of those three choices I think those are the three choices I think I had a clean image again and mean that -- one about where they where we sit and talk to them and they ally is the most terrifying to me.
Well exactly but that's where I think the Israelis fear that night -- -- in the Obama administration most is desperate effort to find somebody in Iran to sit down and negotiate with the but inconveniently they're having the political crisis in Iran now I think it's very difficult for them.
To formulate -- negotiating position so that's yet another reason why I don't think we're gonna see negotiations by year's end and why Israel comes closer to that.
Decision whether or not to use force.
Yes isn't -- does seem I'm worried enough about the sanctions other sanctions enough to strangle them not to do it.
That they're not sanctions in place now they're having any material effect on Iran's decision making and even the strict sanctions the administration.
Is talking about are too little too late you need widespread -- -- need Russia and China on board there is zero evidence that that's gonna happen.
So was -- -- that the fracture apart on this one.
Well nominally the French the Germans and the British Open but I've seen this process over the last six years where they say -- we're with here right up until the point where Russia and China say we're actually we're not with you and then you find the Europeans.
Trying to mediate between the Russians and the Chinese on the one side and the US on the other that's why these negotiations are scare.
For the Obama administration why Israel is skeptical.
That even exceeding two of them will will permit enough progress to keep Iran from getting the bomb any theory who sit -- tougher wanhatten Iraq between -- the -- secretary of State's.
Well -- speculation is that Secretary Clinton is tougher but I'm but I must say at this point we are so close.
To Iran actually getting a weapon that these -- calibration so we've got six months or eight months or ten months.
All you have to do is be wrong by one day and once Iran has a nuclear capability.
Everything else changes not only because of the threat Iran would then pose but because of the near certain reaction.
-- Arab governments in the region Saudi Arabia Egypt Turkey.
That would then go on and get nuclear weapons themselves.
Well anyway and that China I was not very helpful on sanction North Korea as -- set -- say no facts so put Pickett China -- on this it seems like the sanction them.
Personal -- I think that's right and Russia to which has a huge interest in selling advanced weapons systems and nuclear reactors to Iran through.
And best guys I see it thank you sir thank you here's -- -- come.
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