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Will Al Qaeda Take Control in Yemen?

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    What will happen in president's absence?

  • Duration 3:01
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We're getting some new inter nation now on a chaotic situation in Yemen where the president there has actually left the country.

To receive medical treatment in Saudi Arabia following a rocket attack on the Presidential Palace.

Reuters now reporting that.

President salaam will return to Yemen in the coming days but what is the long term future.

But where this unstable nation on the brink of civil war.

-- we actually be looking at the formation -- first al-Qaeda state joining me now.

Daniel Green -- a fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy mr.

green.

Thanks very much for being -- are -- skeptical.

That the president will actually be returning to his country I was under the impression that perhaps the saudis would not allow him do -- do so.

-- a very good question there have been a number of reports some of which have set a few days like you mentioned some of mention a couple weeks.

Some -- mention a few months I think that ambiguity actually plays the president's solace.

Benefit in some respects and then allows him to continue what he does very well which is cigar bargain and negotiate and try to get the best deal for him.

But I don't think as you said earlier that the state of Yemen is -- that the crisis point that Hokkaido we'll take it over.

-- cut it just doesn't have the manpower to do that.

And frankly the amenities simply don't we'll never want that to occur assuming the president does not return who is in control.

Sure -- thankfully Yemen has a constitution on though it doesn't necessarily always follow it it is in this case -- vice president.

Is currently acting in the president's -- place.

He is from the south of Yemen.

Interestingly he's not only -- with our US ambassador and talked to John Brennan the president's counterterrorism -- He's also met with president -- on on that and two of his nephews who run the security services so.

It did he certainly talking to all the key players but he's generally regarded as not a particularly strong personality.

Now we do know that al-Qaeda does allegedly hold certain regions in the country not a lot of territory but certain regions.

Right ticket for your comments you -- you do not think that they could expand that and take control of the country.

No I don't I think in the few cases that al-Qaeda has been asserted his control.

It's been very sort of temporary I would say for example is that town the capital -- beyond province in the south.

Closings -- bar that they just overran with allegedly 200 or so fighters but a lot of -- -- do be do to solemn service.

-- deliberately creating these crisis points by removing his security forces from certain areas.

Again give the logic of al-Qaeda is gonna take over -- it.

Removed for I have to leave.

I'm not convinced that that it seems that for Qaeda does briefs.

Brief missions -- overrun particular targets they were overran in March and weapons factor in the same problems.

But -- have the staying power.

And frankly they are being pursued by us.

So they can't really say they're very long.

Daniel Graham the Washington Institute for Near East Policy thank you so much sir appreciate it thanks -- -- Christian.